(7/2) MLB | The Daily Dinger Report — Thursday Dingers
Written by: Varun Sharma
Published: Thu Jul 02, 2026, 5:41 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
mlb
Thursday dingers with a smaller than usual MLB slate. I've got two guys I'm locked in on, both in the same game.
Let's jump straight into tonight's best hitters.
The cheat sheet makes it a lot easier when I run through the stats I'm looking at and as always, hit me up on X if you've got more questions.
Dinger Cheat Sheet
- BA — Batting Average
- oBA — Opponent Batting Average
- xBA — Expected BA
- SLG — Slugging Percentage
- ISO — Isolated Power
- wOBA — Weighted On-Base Average
- HH% — Hard Hit Rate
- BRL% — Barrel Rate
- HR/9 — Home Runs per 9 innings
- XBH — Extra Base Hit
- RBI — Runs Batted In
Dinger Counter: 10-21; +6.85 units
Today's Dingers
Max Muncy Home Run (+280) | Lucky Rebel
Max Muncy didn't take the field the last time we bet him, but tonight the Dodgers are back in Los Angeles and the matchup is looking great.
After a red hot start to the year, Muncy cooled off in the month of June. He hit .282 during the month but recorded just 3 home runs through 26 games.
Against right handed pitchers, Muncy's hitting .264 on the year with a .492 SLG and 12 home runs. He's got a HH of 48% against righties and his 9 of his 17 home runs have come here at Dodger Stadium.
The Padres will send out Randy Vásquez tonight, a righty with a 4.44 ERA this year.
Vásquez is allowing lefties to hit .297 this year with a HH of 47% and 6 home runs allowed. He relies heavily on his 4-seam fastball against lefties and Muncy's been crushing fastballs all year.
Muncy's hitting .348 against 4-seam fastballs this year, with 7 of his 17 home runs come against this very pitch. Winds are blowing out toward center field, temperature's in the mid 70s and I just love betting on the big boy.
Shohei Ohtani Home Run (+190) | Lucky Rebel
Two plays, both in the same game. Randy Vasquez is giving up a 61% flyball rate and like I said relies heavily on that fastball against lefties.
Ohtani crushes fastball and tonight he's back at Dodger Stadium. Ohtani's hit 9 of his 18 home runs here in Los Angeles, with a .508 SLG and he's done that in 10 fewer games than he's played on the road.
Shohei's batting just .200 against Vásquez in his career but he does have a home run. Against righties, Ohtani's hitting .300 against a 4-seam fastball with a 61% HH and 27% BRL.
Ohtani crushes any and all fastballs thrown by right handed pitchers and 63% of Vásquez arsenal is some type of fastball.
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