(5/19) MLB | The Daily Dinger Report — Dinger Tuesday
Written by: Varun Sharma
Published: Tue May 19, 2026, 4:44 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Happy Dinger Tuesday. We've got a full slate of MLB games this evening with great weather all over the country. Let's jump right into a couple of my favorite hitters tonight.
This makes it a lot easier when I run through the stats I'm looking at and as always, hit me up on X if you've got more questions.
Dinger Cheat Sheet
- BA — Batting Average
- oBA — Opponent Batting Average
- xBA — Expected BA
- SLG — Slugging Percentage
- ISO — Isolated Power
- wOBA — Weighted On-Base Average
- HH% — Hard Hit Rate
- BRL% — Barrel Rate
- HR/9 — Home Runs per 9 innings
Dinger Counter: 1-3; +0.1 units
Today's Dingers
Bryce Harper Home Run (+325) | Lucky Rebel
Bryce Harper's been great this year. Harper's hitting .277 on the year with a .549 SLG. He's got 12 home runs on the season with 29 runs scored and 30 RBI. He looks like he's healthy once again and he's just seeing the ball so well.
Harper's hitting .305 in the month of May with 6 home runs and a .661 SLG. The reason we're getting this price is his matchup, Chase Burns. Burns has a 1.87 ERA this year and has held left handed batters to a batting average below .250.
Despite limiting contact, Burns has still allowed 6 home runs on the year, with 5 coming against left handed bats. Burns' pitch arsenal is another reason I love this spot. Against lefties this year, Burns is leaning heavily on his 4-seam fastball and his slider.
Against righties, Harper's hitting .429 against 4-seam fastballs and .300 against sliders. His BRL% is north of 30% against these pitches with a HH% just under 60%.
Byron Buxton Home Run (+320) | Lucky Rebel
Byron Buxton has 15 home runs this year and 10 of those home runs have come here at home. Buxton's hitting .309 at home this year, with a .702 SLG and 20.6% BRL%. The ball's been flying in Minnesota this year and tonight with Lance McCullers on the bump for Houston, I think it continues.
McCullers has a 6.86 ERA this year and that jumps to 7.53 on the road. He's giving up 1.6 HR/9 this year and has a HH% just over 50%. Tonight we've got winds blowing out and toward right field at 12 mph and a pitcher giving up a ton of hard contact.
Mix that in with red hot Buxton. Feels like the perfect recipe for a home run. Buxton's hitting .270 against right handed pitchers this year, with 14 of his 15 home runs coming against righties. His SLG jumps to .703 against righties and he's just been crushing the ball at home.
In terms of pitch mix, McCullers leans heavily on a mix of his cutter/sinker/curve against right handed bats. All three are pitches Buxton hits with power, recording 6 home runs against these very pitches this year.
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