(5/12) MLB | The Daily Dinger Report — Dinger Tuesday

Varun Sharma

Written by: Varun Sharma

Published: Tue May 12, 2026, 6:08 pm ET

Read Time: 4 minutes

Yordan Alvarez

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Colorado Rockies logo
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo

Colorado Rockies

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Pittsburgh Pirates

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Happy Dinger Tuesday to all those that celebrate.We've got a huge slate of MLB games on the docket and some beautiful weather across the league. Before we get into my favorite dingers today, take a second and look at my little cheat sheet.

This makes it a lot easier when I run through the stats I'm looking at and as always, hit me up on X if you've got more questions. 

Dinger Cheat Sheet

  • BA — Batting Average
  • oBA — Opponent Batting Average
  • xBA — Expected BA
  • SLG — Slugging Percentage
  • ISO — Isolated Power
  • wOBA — Weighted On-Base Average
  • HH% — Hard Hit Rate
  • BRL% — Barrel Rate
  • HR/9 — Home Runs per 9 innings

Dinger Counter: 1-1; +2.1 units

Today's Dingers

Brandon Lowe Home Run (+440) | Lucky Rebel

Michael Lorenzen takes the mound for the Colorado Rockies tonight and the veteran pitcher has not looked great this year. Lorenzen's got a 6.92 ERA this year and he's allowed 7 home runs in just eight total starts.

The righty's giving up 1.8 HR/9 on the road this year and he's been especially bad against left handed bats this year. Lorenzen's allowing lefties to hit .415 on the year with a .780 SLG. Lefties have a 17.1% BRL% and 52.9% HH% against Lorenzen and Lowe's been crushing the ball this year.

In his first year with the Pittsburgh Pirates, Lowe's batting .259 with a .563 SLG. He's got 10 home runs already this year and we're not even a quarter of the way into the season. Lowe's batting .299 against right handed pitchers this year with a .660 SLG and 8 home runs.

It's 70F in Pittsburgh with slight winds blowing toward the outfield. Lowe's hit six of his last 10 batted balls at least 90+ mph with five crossing the 98 mph mark. The Pirates are also coming back from a week long road trip on the west coast where they spent a ton of time in some pitcher friendly parks.

PNC Park isn't the most hitter friendly, but with

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Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez Home Run (+240) | Lucky Rebel

This one's obviously not as juicy, but Yordan Alvarez has been absolutely crushing the ball this year and it's safe to say; he's back. Yordan's got 10 home runs this year, he's hitting .314 on the year with a .628 SLG.

At home this year, Yordan's batting average jumps to .365 while his SLG jumps to .743. He's hit 7 home runs at home this year and tonight he matches up with Bryan Woo of the Seattle Mariners. Woo's got a 4.50 ERA on the road this year and he's struggled against lefties this year.

Four of the 5 home runs Woo's allowed have come against left handed bats and he's allowing a HH% of 48.7% to southpaws.

Lastly, as good as Yordan's been this year, his numbers should probably be better. Alvarez leads the MLB in xwOBA (.492), sits second in wOBA and top 10 in adjusted exited velocity. He's crushing the baseball and tonight should be no different.

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Varun Sharma
Varun Sharma

You may know me as ‘VSaaauce’. I’ve been a die hard hoops fan my entire life. I’ve been betting on the NBA/NCAAB/NFL/MLB for six years now, each year gaining more and more knowledge about being a profitable handicapper. I’m eager to learn, and eager to pass on everything I’ve gained over the last few years. I started my Twitter page four years ago, and this community makes me so thankful I did. Outside of sports and handicapping, I enjoy traveling, hoopin, a strong espresso and I’m currently studying to obtain my MD. I’m all about the vibes, good vibes only. If that sounds like you, follow me on 'X' @VSaaauce.

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