WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Picks and Odds | July 30, 2026

Written by: Nick Zanghi

Last Update: Thu Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 am ET

Read Time: 5 minutes

wnba

FINAL

New York Liberty

Las Vegas Aces

104

See Picks & Statistics For The Game

We're in for a show tonight with this game. The New York Liberty will play the Las Vegas Aces at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. These two teams met one month ago, and the Liberty won the game by eight points.

New York is 16-12 this season and third in the Eastern Conference. They come into this game on a three-game winning streak after another win on Tuesday over the Sparks. The Liberty are 4-6 in their last ten games and 8-7 on the road this season.

POD Sneak Peak: New York Liberty Spread +5.5 (-115)

Keep reading for analysis!

They started this season off ok and then hit a horrible losing streak. It looked like they were coming out of it a few weeks ago, but now I think they are. New York has won the last three games by the skin of their teeth, with four points being the largest margin of victory.

Despite their up and downs, they still put up numbers on paper. They rank fifth in points per game, sixth in field goal percentage and fifth in offensive rating. On defense, they rebound decent but turn the ball over a lot. They rank eighth in defensive rating as well.

Check out the odds for this matchup and other WNBA games at the best online sportsbooks.

Las Vegas will look to take down their rival tonight at home

Las Vegas Aces players Chelsea Gray and Jackie Young high five after getting an and-1 call.

The Aces are 19-8 this year and second in the Western Conference. They come into this game off a win over the Fire on Tuesday by fifteen points. Las Vegas is 7-3 in their last ten games and 8-5 at home this season.

This offense is firing on all cylinders. They rank third in points per game; they have the best field goal percentage in the league and move the ball well, ranking second in assists. Las Vegas ranks third best in offensive rating as well.

Reigning MVP A'ja Wilson continues to kill it. She is averaging 26.2 points, 9.7 rebounds and 3 assists per game. Wilson will matchup against Breanna Stewart once again with these two being very familiar with each other.

On defense, the Aces protect the ball well, ranking third best in turnovers per game. They rank fifth in defensive rating and rebounding. This team's offense completely overpowers teams to the point that their defense can be mediocre.

Let's check out the odds and get into the Liberty vs. Aces picks.

New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Betting Odds and Game Information

Liberty vs. Aces Betting Odds – July 30

Team	Puck Line	Moneyline	Over/Under
New York Liberty	+5.5 (-115)	+180	Over 181.5 (-110)
Las Vegas Aces	-5.5 (-105)	-210	Under 181.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of Lucky Rebel – Get a $1,250 deposit bonus & 50 Slot Spins when you sign up

Liberty vs. Aces Game Information

Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, LV
Date: Thursday July 30, 2026
Tip Off: 10 p.m. EST
TV: Amazon Prime Video

New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction

Aces center A'ja Wilson drives past Liberty forward Breanna Stewart for the layup.

Liberty vs. Aces Picks and Predictions: New York Liberty Spread +5.5 (-115) Get a $1,250 deposit bonus & 50 Slot Spins when you sign up with Lucky Rebel

This should be another great showdown between these two teams. I think the Liberty show out a bit coming in on this winning streak. I'm not positive they pull off the win, but I think they keep it close and cover this spread. As mentioned, their last three games were decided by no more than four points.

It should be a very offensive game, and I definitely lean with the over. Both teams like playing each other and I think defense takes the back seat. I also like for the two bigs in this game to show out and put up some numbers. Both ladies are due for a bounce back after last performance.

Give me the A'ja Wilson to cover her points line. She has covered in her last three out of four games, including a 38-point game. And then I really like Breanna Stewart to cover her points line. She is coming off a big 29-point game, hitting her line in three of her last four as well.