I think this one could get real ugly, yet I'm still not going to lay the points with the Bills. The Giants are 1-4, and really only looked competitive against the Cardinals for two quarters.
Other than that, the Giants are hot garbage. But even they might find a way to cover this back door.
The Bills defense has only looked solid in two games this year, which makes me think we finally see some points on Primetime.
I'll take the over and root for both offenses in this one. It wouldn't surprise me if the Bills cover this by themselves, but even 10-14 points from the Giants should get us over the hump.
The Bills scored a season low 16 points in Week 1 against a solid Jets defense, but at home tonight, I think they could torch the Giants secondary that can't seem to stop anybody.
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Best NFL Player Prop Bets: Sunday Night Football
Latavius Murray Anytime Touchdown (+350) Bovada
Murray is certainly not the RB1 on this Bills roster, but he gets plenty of goal line work.
Josh Allen actually leads the team with 3 of their 7 rushing TDs, but Murray is right behind him with 2 for the Bills.
Murray only had 19 carries this year, less than Damien Harris, James Cook, and even Allen, yet he sees goal line work because of his size.
Cook and Harris are both listed at 5' 11", weighing in at 190 and 213 pounds. Murray towers over those two. He is 6'3" and 230 pounds of bowling ball barreling towards the endzone.
For +350, I'll bet that the Bills give this guy the opportunity if they get inside the 3 yard line. The Giants allow the most rushing TDs to opponents this year, allowing 1.8 per game.
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Gabe Davis over 43.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Bovada
Davis is a clear favorite target of Allen's.
He's cleared this line in 3/5 games this season, including 2 straight. He also had 100 against Jacksonville last Sunday.
Davis has caught at least 1 ball each game, and has a minimum of 3 targets per game. He's also caught a ball for 26+ yards in all 5 games.
Davis is coming off a season high six receptions last week, and he's matched that number before as well.
I think he catches a couple deep balls from Allen, especially against the Giants who are 29th in opponent yards/completion, allowing over 12 yards per catch.
Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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