Packers vs Giants, Prediction: December 11th, 2023
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Mon Dec 11, 2023, 1:30 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
nfl
The Green Bay Packers are in New York taking on the Giants in a Monday Night Double Header!
Both teams are currently on winning streaks, but one will come to a close after the game at MetLife Stadium.
The Green Bay Packers are 6-6 on the season, 3rd in the NFC North, and are currently sitting in the last Wild Card spot in the conference. They are only 2-4 on the road, but they are on a 3 game win streak.
The New York Giants are 4-8 overall and 2-3 at home. They are 3rd in the NFC East, but their playoff hopes are all but gone at this point. However, they are coming off two straight wins.
Can Tommy Devito keep his magic going? Or will Jordan Love and the Packers pull of an NYC victory?
Packers vs Giants Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)
- Date: Monday, December 11th, 2023
- Kick Off: 8:15pm Eastern
- Broadcast: ABC
Betting Odds
Spread
- Packers -6 (-105)
- Giants +6 (-115)
Moneyline
- Packers -250
- Giants +210
Total
- Over 37 (-115)
- Under 37 (-105)
Free NFL Picks: Packers vs Giants
I truly think the Packers absolutely obliterate the Giants tonight on national television. Even without Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon will run all over this defense that allowed 4.8 yards per attempt this year.
That number is up to 5.3 over the L3 games, and Dillon is coming off a 73 yard game.
I think the Packers really show the world they deserve to be in the playoffs, and they need this win to stay on track.
Green Bay has won 4 of their L5, and back to back games @ Detroit and against Kansas City.
New York is 2nd to last in scoring, and they only put up a touchdown at home.
We're going to ride the PrimeTime Unders trend again tonight.
Even at 37.5, I do not think the Giants contribute to this at all. New York has only score 20+ points twice this year: Week 2 against the Cardinals, and two weeks ago against Washington.
Green Bay's Defense is Top 10 in Points Allowed and Passing Yards Allowed. Even with a RB like Saquon, the Giants O-Line can't get any movement, so they will be forced to pass the ball to score.
I think they have trouble doing so against this secondary.
I see the Packers getting up early, and then just milking the clock with AJ Dillon all night long.
At Bovada, we are currently getting an extra half point compared to the market, so I'll take my money there and get the best line available.
The Pick: GB/NYG Under 37.5 (-105) Bovada
Free NFL Player Props: Packers vs Giants
Jordan Love Over 9.5 Rushing Yards (-110) Bovada
Love has cleared this line in 9/12 games this season, averaging 19.3 rushing yards per contest. I touched on how pitiful the Giants rushing defense is, but they are prone to letting QBs run wild.
Here's how they've done recently against some other rushing QBs:
- Sam Howell: 3-35, TD
- Dak Prescott: 2-17, TD
- Zach Wilson: 4-25
- Sam Howell: 2-15
- Josh Allen: 2-11
Love has cleared this line in 2 straight, 3/L4, and in all 6 away games.
You've heard that right, all 6 away games, averaging 24 yards rushing on the road.
He could clear this in just one rush, but he's had at least 2 attempts in every single game, and 3 attempts in 2 of his L3 road games.
You can bet this line and so many more NFL Bets at Bovada!
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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