Niners vs Seahawks, Prediction: Niners Ruin Seahawks Thanksgiving
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Wed Nov 22, 2023, 8:16 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
nfl
We've got some Thanksgiving Pigskin on the West Coast, as the Seattle Seahawks host the San Francisco 49ers for some Turkey Day Football.
This is the first meeting between these squads, but they will turn around and play on December 10th as well in Santa Clara.
The 49ers won all three meetings last year against Seattle, beating them 21-13 in the one matchup at Lumen Field. However, typically the Seahawks are good at defending their home field.
Can Geno Smith do that in Thursday? Or will Brock Purdy and the 49ers spoil the Seahawks' Thanksgiving?
Niners vs Seahawks Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)
- Date: Thursday, November, 23rd, 2023
- Kick Off: 8:20pm Eastern
- Broadcast: NBA
Betting Odds
Spread
- Niners -7 (-110)
- Seahawks +7 (-110)
Moneyline
- Niners -350
- Seahawks +275
Total
- Over 44.5 (-105)
- Under 44.5 (-115)
Free NFL Picks: Niners vs Seahawks
I think Geno Smith is more than capable of beating the 49ers, especially in Seattle. However, I will not be fading this Niners team.
They've won two straight after dropping three games, and they've looked very solid in both games, beating Jacksonville 34-3 on the road.
As a 7 point favorite, this game has backdoor written all over it for me, therefore I won't be touching the spread.
The Seahawks score 21.6 PPG but that number jumps to 24.6 at home. I think the Seahawks do put up some points, but it'll break my heart when I bet the over and this finishes 24-17, or better yet, 23-20 cashing my backdoor "lean".
Anyways, here's some Turkey Day props.
Free NFL Player Props: Niners vs Seahawks
Brandon Aiyuk over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Bovada
Aiyuk has stepped up in Deebo Samuel's absence, but even with him back, I still like this guy to show out.
He has cleared this number in 5/9 games this season, posting 55+ in three other contests. Against Jacksonville, Aiyuk had just 3 catches on 3 targets, but still went for 55 yards.
Being a deep ball threat will make that happen.
He's caught at least 3 passes in every game this year, and only has one game with less than 6 targets.
Seattle ranks 21st in the league giving up 233 passing yards per game, with that number jumping to 261 at home. He's caught at least an 18 yard reception in every game this year, and he doesn't see much drop off in games with Samuel.
Just 63 yards should be very easy for Brandon Aiyuk on Thanksgiving.
Jason Meyers over 5.5 Kicking Points (-115)
Just two Field Goals is what we need from Meyers, and I think this is a great line.
So far this season, Meyers has cleared this line in 9/10 games, and has had 27 kicking points in his L2 games. You read that correctly, 27 kicking points in 2 games.
Call it square, I do not care, the Seahawks offense only scores a Touchdown on 48% of trips to the RedZone, leaving plenty of opportunities for this guy.
He's made at least 1 FG in every single game this year, and has 2+ Field Goals in 6 of his 10 contests. That's all we need.
We know how good the Niners defense is, but on the road, I've got faith in Seattle to find ways to get into position for this guy to do some damage.
Historically against San Francisco, Meyers has only cleared in 1/3 games, posting 5 points in their last playoff match.
In the line game against the Niners in Seattle, Meyers knocked down two field goals for a total of 7 kicking points.
This line is too low.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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