Patriots vs Cowboys, Prediction & Top Picks: Defense Wins in Dallas
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Fri Sep 29, 2023, 2:23 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
nfl
Bill Belichick faces off against Mike McCarthy as the New England Patriots travel to Texas to face the Dallas Cowboys in Jerry's World!
The 2-1 Cowboys back in Arlington and are coming off a bad loss to Arizona in the desert.
Cue the bounce back spot at home monologue.
However the Patriots played two tough teams at home, losing to both the Eagles and Dolphins, but beat the Jets in East Rutherford last Sunday.
Now, the Patriots only scored 15 points on a good Jets defense, but now they face a Dallas defense who is playing their second game without star cornerback Trevon Diggs, and just gave up 28 points to the Arizona Cardinals.
Let's talk more about this huge matchup on Sunday!
Patriots vs Cowboys Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)
- Date: Sunday, October 1st, 2023
- Kick Off: 4:25 AM Eastern
- Broadcast: FOX
Betting Odds
Spread
- Patriots +6.5 (-110)
- Cowboys -6.5 (-110)
Moneyline
- Patriots +240
- Cowboys -290
Total
- Over 43.5 (-110)
- Under 43.5 (-110)
Best NFL Bets Sunday
Yes, the Cowboys have a huge need to bounce back into the W column with a win against this Patriots team. Plus, Mac Jones and company have simply not been scoring the ball.
New England ranks 26th in the league, scoring just 17.3 points per contest. Now the defense holds teams below 20, but I'd like to think this Cowboys team comes out with a different kind of fire.
Last week was a game they did not intend to lose, and they shouldn't have. Now they need some extra focus the rest of the season to figure out what went wrong and how to prevent it from happening down the road.
I'm not sure about a side in this one, but what I am going to bet on is the total.
The Pick: NE/DAL Under 43.5 (-110) BetOnline
NFL Player Prop Bets
Brandon Aubrey Over 6.5 Kicking Points (-145) Bovada
If you haven't heard about this guy, I encourage you to google him. He's got a great story, and he's tearing up the league.
Through three games, this guy has double digits kicking points in every single game. He had 10 last week, 16 against the Jets, and 10 in Week 1.
For those unfamiliar, kicking points are literally just that: the number of points put on by the kicker, three for a FG, one for a PAT.
Now it helps your kicker when you have a great offense, and at the very least this is two FG and one PAT. I'm sure the Cowboys will score plenty, but I trust the Patriots defense to hold them to three at least a few times this game.
I'm confident in Aubrey to continue to line them up, and knock them down to cash this juicy play.
Aubrey has not missed a field goal, a perfect 10/10 on the year including a 55 yarder, and he is 6/7 on PAT. I trust this guy's foot to cash for us on Sunday.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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