Patriots vs Colts, Prediction: Mac vs Minshew in Germany
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Sun Nov 12, 2023, 7:48 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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The NFL is in Frankfurt again this weekend as the Indianapolis Colts take on the New England Patriots in Germany!
This will be the 2023-2024 NFL Season's second installment of games in Germany, as the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Miami Dolphins last weekend.
This Sunday, Mac Jones and Gardner Minshew lead their teams to battle, hoping to get an international victory.
Let's break this one down!
Colts vs Patriots Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Frankfurt Stadium (Frankfurt, Germany)
- Date: Sunday, November, 12th, 2023
- Kick Off: 9:30am Eastern
- Broadcast: NFL Network
Betting Odds
Spread
- Colts -1.5 (-110)
- Patriots +1.5 (-110)
Moneyline
- Colts -125
- Patriots +105
Total
- Over 43.5 (-110)
- Under 43.5 (-110)
Free NFL Picks: Colts vs Patriots
To put it bluntly, the Patriots are a hot dumpster fire.
They are 2-7 on the year, with a solid win against the Bills at home, but other than that, they have not looked great at all. They are 1-3 away from home, with a lone 15-10 win against the New York Jets.
Mac Jones leads the Patriots to just 15 points per game, while their defense struggles to stop teams, allowing over 25 points and nearly 350 yards of offense to opponents.
On the other side of the field, the Colts have played well since losing Anthony Richardson.
The Colts are 4-5 this season, and coming off a solid win against Carolina. Away from Indianapolis this year, they are 3-1, with their lone loss coming to Jacksonville.
Yes, one could argue that the Colts' strength of schedule has not been that of the Patriots, but I still think they dominate this game.
This is just as much a back of the Colts as it is a fade of Mac Jones and the Patriots.
Gimme the Colts to get the job done in Germany.
The Pick: Colts ML (-120) BetUS
NFL Player Props: NFL in Germany
Jonathon Taylor Anytime Touchdown (-105)
While this line is a little hard to find at the moment, I did see it available for -105 and quickly hopped on board. Taylor is close to the point where even money for a TD is long gone, so I'll take advantage while I can.
Taylor has scored in 2/5 games this year, including last week against the Panthers.
Since coming back from the PUP list, Taylor has seen an increase in snap count every single week with the Colts. Any offseason bad blood is clearly behind them, because he's being fed the ball plenty.
Last week he ran 18 times for just 47 yards, but did score twice, once rushing once receiving. This season, he still averages about 4 yards per carry, and I think they pound the ground against New England.
The Patriots are 3rd in the league allowing just 3.5 yards per attempt, however, opponent's run it plenty.
New England is 24th, allowing 29 rushing attempts per game, and 21st allowing about 0.89 rushing touchdowns per game.
For -105, I'll bet on Taylor to find the end zone in Germany.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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