Packers vs. Chiefs Preseason Betting: Back Kansas City to Upset Green Bay at Home

Devon Platana

The 2022 NFL season is nearly here as we enter the final week of the preseason. One matchup that’s sure to grab some fans’ attention based on name value alone is the Thursday night showdown between the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs.

After losing their preseason opener, the Packers managed to rebound last week with a. 20-10 victory over the New Orleans Saints. It was a solid all-around performance that Matt LaFleur’s squad would like to build off of to get some momentum ahead of the regular season.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs were also victorious last week. Patrick Mahomes ended up being the deciding factor in the 24-14 win against the Washington Commanders, completing 12-of-19 passes for 162 yards and a pair of touchdown passes.

Here’s a look at FanDuel Sportsbook’s odds for Thursday’s Packers vs. Chiefs preseason matchup, as well as a prediction and best bet for the game.

Green Bay Packers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Preseason Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: Green Bay Packers (1-1 in preseason) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (1-1 in preseason)
  • Venue & Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
  • Date: Thursday, August 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 p.m. Eastern Time
  • Packers vs. Chiefs Info: NFL Network, NFL+

Packers vs. Chiefs Odds

Game odds are via FanDuel. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

  • Green Bay Packers -1.5 (-110)
  • Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 (-110)

Over/Under

  • Over 35.5 (-110)
  • Under 35.5 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Green Bay Packers -130
  • Kansas City Chiefs +110

Falcons vs. Jets Betting Trends

  • Green Bay is 1-6 straight up in its last seven road games against Kansas City.
  • Kansas City is 9-1 straight up in its last 10 road games.
  • Green Bay is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games played in August.
  • Kansas City is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games played on Thursday.
  • The total has hit the over in four of Green Bay’s last five road games.
  • The total has hit the under in four of Kansas City’s last five games played in August.

Green Bay Packers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction and Picks

Packers vs. Chiefs Prediction: Chiefs 24, Packers 22

Packers vs. Chiefs Picks: Chiefs ML (Best Value: +110 at FanDuel) & Over 35.5 Points (Best Value: -110 at FanDuel)

Even though Green Bay is the slight road favorite here, this Packers vs. Chiefs matchup could truly go either way. After all, -130 odds only equate to an implied probability of 56.5%, proving that Kansas City still has a solid chance of winning as the underdog.

While the Packers’ victory last week was much-needed, it was also a rare occurrence. After all, they had lost eight of their previous 10 preseason games before that, mostly due to Green Bay not putting its best effort forth during exhibition games.

On the other hand, the Chiefs have proven that anyone is fair game for a preseason appearance. Mahomes’ performance last week proves that and head coach Andy Ready has already said that he hasn’t ruled out his No. 1 QB making an appearance against the Packers tonight.

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes playing against the Packers on Thursday would give Kansas City a huge advantage.

While the Packers have one of the greatest quarterbacks to ever play in Aaron Rodgers, the four-time NFL MVP hasn’t seen preseason action in four years. There’s just not much of a reason to given that he’s proven his worth time and time again.

Packers backup QB Jordan Love hasn’t been awful this preseason, but he hasn’t been great either. Even if it’s only for a few quarters, it’s hard to imagine him keeping up with Mahomes.

Last week’s victory for Green Bay was thanks to its rushing game, which racked up 178 yards on the ground. The effort was led by Danny Etling, who turned four carries into 48 yards and a touchdown.

Unfortunately, replicating that overall performance as a team will be tough against the Chiefs. Andy Reid and co. held the Commanders to 69 rushing yards. In other words, if Love can’t get the offense going through the air and the rushing game is shut down, the Packers could be in trouble.

Taking all of this into account, I’m going with the Chiefs winning outright as the best bet. As mentioned before, the Packers rarely win in the preseason and there isn’t any reason to risk unnecessary injuries on the road, so they likely won’t use many starters.

Also, don’t be afraid to take the over for Packers vs. Chiefs as it’s something they’ve combined for in five of their last seven games.

Other NFL Preseason Stories on Betting News

Devon Platana
Devon Platana