Packers vs Bears, Prediction & Picks: NFC North Rivalry Week 1
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Sun Sep 10, 2023, 7:57 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
nfl
We've got an NFC North Rivalry game in Week 1 of the NFL Season as the Green Bay Packers travel to Chicago to take on the Bears!
Jordan Love looks to lead this Packers team for their first season without former franchise QB, Aaron Rodgers.
Can Love get it done against a Bears team that is hungry to beat the Packers?
They haven't done so in over 4 seasons, and they've got to be sick of losing to this team from Green Bay.
Justin Fields got a new friend in WR D.J. Moore, and they look to build off of last season's progress.
Packers vs Bears Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Solider Field (Chicago, IL)
- Date: Sunday, September 10th, 2023
- Kick Off: 4:25pm Eastern
- Broadcast: FOX
Betting Odds
Spread
- Packers +1 (-110)
- Bears -1 (-110)
Moneyline
- Packers -105
- Bears -115
Total
- Over 42 (-110)
- Under 42 (-110)
Packers Begin Life After Rodgers
The Packers have beaten the Bears 8 times in a row. Chicago has not won a game against Green Bay sine December 16th, 2018 at Soldier Field.
The Packers have won 13 of their last 15 against the Bears, but this year they have to do so without Rodgers.
It is Jordan Love's time to shine in Green Bay, and he gets a road divisional rivalry as his first test.
Chicago being favorite tells me that Vegas heavily expects the Bears to show progress this season in a much weaker division. Yes the Lions and Vikings are both good, but this division is certainly up for grabs.
Both squads with want to start off their season with a win, and to be honest, I gotta back the Bears at home. *Profusely vomits*
The Pick: Bears ML (-115) Bovada
Player Props
Justin Fields over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115) Bovada
This guy ran all over teams last year, and now with even more weapons, I see him having more green grass ahead.
Fields cleared 60+ rushing yards in 9/15 games last season, boasting 100+ yards on 3 separate occasions. He cleared this line in 5/8 home starts having games with 88, 178, 147, 71, and 95 rushing yards.
Fields also cleared this line in 5 of his L6 at home, and 9 of his L10 overall.
Against the Packers last season, Fields only had 20 yards in his first game at Green Bay. However, when the Packers came to play the Bears in Chicago, Fields went for 71 rushing yards and scored a TD in each game.
I think he's going to get loose against a Packers defense that allowed 140 rushing yards per game (26th) and 5 yards per attempt (28th).
Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown (+140) Bovada
Jones is the primary back for the Packers, and I think he will see some goaline touches this game.
He had 7 total touchdowns last year in 5 games, posting 2 separate multi-touchdown games. Three of these touchdowns and one of these multi-TD games happened on the road.
Now, the Packer's RB scored 2 TDs against the Bears in September last season, but that game was in Green Bay.
Without Rodgers, I think the Packers rely on Jones in the redzone and let him punch one in.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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