Chiefs vs Jaguars, Prediction & Picks: Jones, Kelce Back Against Jags

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Last Updated:

Read Time: 4 minutes

Chiefs vs Jaguars, Prediction & Picks: Jones, Kelce Back Against Jags cover


The NFL is back for Week 2 and we’ve got a QB showdown in Jacksonville as the Jaguars host the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Chiefs are coming off a devastating loss to the Detroit Lions on opening night 21-20. However, two of their studs will be back on the field this weekend.

Travis Kelce is back after hyperextending his knee in practice two days before Thursday’s game. After sitting out against the Lions, Kelce should be back on the field and ready to go after 10 days rest.

And on the defensive side, Chris Jones is back in gear and will be on the field for Week 2 against the Jaguars.

Jones signed 1 year deal worth up to $19.8 million, minus the fines he concurred during the holdout.

Regardless, he is back on the Kansas City defense who only allowed 14 points in Week 1.

AFC Divisional Round Rematch

On the other sideline, Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars have their sights set on revenge.

After losing to the Chiefs in Arrowhead in last year’s playoffs, the Jaguars are here to prove that they deserve to be talked about.

Calvin Ridley and Zay Jones looked phenomenal in their debuts with Lawrence, as the Jaguars beat the Colts in Indy, 31-21.

Can the Jaguars compete with KC with Jones and Kelce back?

Chiefs vs Jaguars Game Information

Chiefs Jaguars Prediction Picks

Matchup Information

  • Venue & Location: TIAA Bank Field (Jacksonville, FL)
  • Date: Sunday, September 17th, 2023
  • Kick Off: 1:00pm Eastern
  • Broadcast: CBS

Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of Bovada.


  • Chiefs -3 (-120)
  • Jaguars +3 (+100)


  • Chiefs -175
  • Jaguars +150


  • Over 51 (-110)
  • Under 51 (-110)
Chiefs Jaguars Prediction Picks

Will the Chiefs Start 0-2?

Look, I’m not going to hide it from you. I am a Chiefs fan.

However, Chris Jones and Travis Kelce are back on the field.

Do you really think the Chiefs start 0-2?

I can’t see it happening, and with BetUS hanging -155 on the ML, we are jumping all over that.

Mahomes has only lost back to back games in the NFL three times.

  • 2018: Week 15 & 16 (vs. LAC, @ SEA)
  • 2019: Week 5 & 6 (vs. IND, vs. HOU)
  • 2021: Week 2 & 3 (@ BAL, vs. LAC)

His ridiculous stats in September still apply to this game. Here they are updated from Thursday’s game.

  • 13-4 Record
  • 51-5 TD:INT Ratio
  • 313.35 Pass Yards/Game
  • 2 Rush TDs

For -155, I will gladly pay the juiceman and bet on the Chiefs to bounce back with two key members in action.

The Pick: Chiefs ML (-155) BetUS

Player Props

Travis Kelce Over 6.5 Receptions (-130)

Chiefs Jaguars Prediction Picks

This prop was not listed at the time of writing, but I would gladly pay up to -130 juice on over 6.5 receptions.

We saw what happened last week. The Chiefs WR had hands made of bricks.

Mahomes will surely look for Kelce often in this game after not having him in Week 1. Kelce may not be 100%, but I’m confident he will play and make a difference in this one.

In last year’s playoff game against the Jaguars, Kelce had 14 receptions for 98 yards and 2 TDs.

This is the go-to guy to catch passes from Mahomes, and I’ll be damned if he doesn’t catch 7 for us on Sunday.

I will update this page when odds for this prop drop!

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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