Chasing the Bag | NFL Week 18 Incentives List

Varun Sharma

Written by: Varun Sharma

Published: Sat Jan 03, 2026, 6:41 pm ET

Read Time: 4 minutes

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This week instead of touchdowns, we're looking at player incentives. There's a ton on the line for these guys and we're going to try and use that to our advantage and target a few of these big money incentives. Let's jump right into it.

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Tony Pollard Anytime Touchdown (+185) | Lucky Rebel

Tony Pollard

Three of Pollard's five touchdowns on the year have come in these four games and he's currently playing with a ton of incentive.

Pollard's a 28-year old RB that's closing in on the end of his last 'guaranteed year' under contract. The team will have paid Pollard close to $14.5 million at the end of this season and the contract's got a potential out this offseason that would only carry a dead cap hit of $2 million.

Pollard's contract carries two incentives still at play and when you look at his last four games, it looks like he's running just a little bit harder.

Pollard's currently 66 rush yards from 1,100 yards on the year, a milestone that would cash a $250,000 bonus for the veteran back. Pollard's also just two rushing touchdowns shy of another $200,000 bonus and despite the Jaguars being one of the best run defenses in the league, I'm expecting Pollard to run just a little bit harder this week.

I'm currently on Pollard to get in for six and I'm on the over on his rushing yards prop. I'm expecting a big week from the 28-year old RB.

Dawson Knox Anytime Touchdown (+250) | Lucky Rebel

Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox has two incentives at play this week. He needs 7 receiving yards for a $100,000 and a singular touchdown for another $100,000 bonus. The Jets are one of the worst defenses in the league and seeding still matters for the Bills.

Knox hasn't been the most reliable and he's lost his starting job to Dalton Kincaid. That all being said, this article is driven by incentives and Knox has 200,000 reasons to have a big game this week.

Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown (+215) | Lucky Rebel

Mark Andrews

The last incentive I'm here to talk about isn't a financial incentive, but the incentive to make the playoffs. Somehow the Ravens have a chance at making the postseason and as bad as they've been, I think Mark Andrews shows up this week.

Andrews hasn't scored since early November and no game's bigger than this one. Lamar's coming back, Andrews has been his go to target and the Steelers have struggled against TEs. The Steelers rank 29th in touchdowns allowed to the TE position and Mark Andrews still leads the Ravens in receiving touchdowns.

Tons on the line this week for the Ravens and I'm expecting both Mark and Lamar to come out fired up.

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Varun Sharma
Varun Sharma

You may know me as ‘VSaaauce’. I’ve been a die hard hoops fan my entire life. I’ve been betting on the NBA/NCAAB/NFL/MLB for six years now, each year gaining more and more knowledge about being a profitable handicapper. I’m eager to learn, and eager to pass on everything I’ve gained over the last few years. I started my Twitter page four years ago, and this community makes me so thankful I did. Outside of sports and handicapping, I enjoy traveling, hoopin, a strong espresso and I’m currently studying to obtain my MD. I’m all about the vibes, good vibes only. If that sounds like you, follow me on 'X' @VSaaauce.

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