Virginia vs #11 Louisville, Prediction: Cardinals Handle Cavaliers
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Thu Nov 09, 2023, 1:56 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
ncaaf
We've got some Thursday Night Football, but I'm not talking NFL. We've got College Kids on the Gridiron tonight as the Virginia Cavaliers take on the #11 Louisville Cardinals.
The Cardinals being three touchdown favorites at home against this Cavaliers team makes me wonder, will this game be exciting at all?
Let's break this one down and find out!
Virginia vs Louisville Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Cardinal Stadium (Louisville, Kentucky)
- Date: Thursday, November 9th, 2023
- Kick Off: 7:30pm Eastern
- Broadcast: ESPN
Betting Odds
Spread
- Virginia +21 (-110)
- Louisville -21 (-110)
Moneyline
- Virginia +750
- Louisville -1400
Total
- Over 50.5 (-110)
- Under 50.5 (-110)
Free NCAAF Picks: Virginia vs Louisville
I am not even going to touch this spread. The Cardinals should dominate, plain and simple.
Virginia is 2-7 on the year, but yes, they did upset big bad North Carolina in Chapel Hill when they were ranked #10. That will not be the case tonight.
Louisville has bounced back after losing on the road to Pittsburgh. Since that loss, the Cardinals have played two games at home, winning both, and outscoring opponents 57-3 in the process.
They shutout Duke, and allowed just a field goal from Virginia Tech. It's safe to say, they addressed the issues following their lone loss.
I think the Cardinals utilize their ground game, exposing a defense that allows 4.9 yards per attempt and nearly 185 rushing yards per game.
Cue the Jawhar Jordan monologue.
Free NCAAF Prop Bets: Player Props
Jawhar Jordan 2+ TDs (+170)
If you've been keeping up with me this NCAA Football season, you already know who this guy is. He's cashed his rushing yards for us twice, including a 2U play to start the season, but tonight we're going to get even cheekier.
The reason? His rushing yards line is listed at 105.5.
Do I think he gets there? Probably. He's cleared 100+ yards in 5/9 games this season, posting 96 on a separate occasion as well.
I touched on the Cavalier's rushing defense being mediocre, and to take some pressure off Jack Plummer's arm, the Cardinals should pound the ground at home.
Jordan only ran 11 times for 29 yards against UVA last year, but he did score a touchdown.
This year, he's scored in 7/9 games, including 4 multi-touchdown games. All four of those games have been at home.
He has 3 TDs in his L2 games, 5 in his L4, and 8 in his L6.
Although this line isn't as great as I'd like it to be for this prop, I'll still take it because Jordan should find the endzone twice at home tonight.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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