I was having a hard time finding a pick on the side in this game, so eventually I gave up. The spread at -4.5 is throwing me off, and seems a little fishy. To me, I'm guessing that's either telling us the Buckeyes blow them out, or the Lions keep it within a FG and maybe even pull off the upset.
Regardless, I do have a feel for the total.
These defenses are very good. Let's talk numbers.
Penn State Defense
137 Passing Yards/Game (1st)
67.4 Rushing Yards/Game (2nd)
8.2 Points/Game (2nd)
Now how about the Buckeyes.
Ohio State Defense
158.2 Passing Yards/Game (3rd)
111.2 Rushing Yards/Game (24th)
10.2 Points/Game (3rd)
We're not overthinking this one. Give me the under.
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NCAA Player Props Bets: PSU vs OSU
Nicholas Singleton over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115) Bovada
Singleton is the clear RB1 for the Lions. He's carried the ball 36 times the past two games, compared to just 15 for Kaytron Allen.
I like them both to clear their yards in this game, but I'll bet on Singleton to get 59+.
He's only cleared this 3 times this year, but he's done so in 2 straight games, posting 79+ in both games.
Like I said, Singleton has seen the majority of the workload, and with Penn State looking to take pressure off of Allar, I think they feed the big guy on the ground.
Ohio State's rushing defense is not as good as their secondary, so I like Penn State, who relies on the ground game, to pound the rock and run it all over this Ohio State team.
Gimme Singleton to get 60+ yards tomorrow in a big game.
Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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