Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Longhorns Betting Preview: Will Lingering Disappointment Derail the Longhorns?

Matt Wiesenfeld

Oklahoma State is one of the few remaining unbeaten teams in college football. Will they still be perfect after today? Their trip to Austin will be a serious challenge.

Texas had the Oklahoma Sooners over a barrel in the Red River Rivalry last week, and their loss was a heck of a gut punch that may require some recovery time.

The Longhorns definitely look like the better team in this matchup, but the Cowboys have the better defense and luck on their side this season.

Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-0) vs. Texas Longhorns (4-2), FOX, 12:00 p.m. ET

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Longhorns College Football Betting Odds


  • Oklahoma State Cowboys +142
  • Texas Longhorns -176


  • OVER 61.5 (-106)
  • UNDER 61.5 (-114)


  • Oklahoma State Cowboys +3.5 (-112)
  • Texas Longhorns -3.5 (-108)

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Longhorns college football betting odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook as of Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 11:10 a.m. ET.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Longhorns Betting Outlook

Oklahoma State is 5-0, but they are an underwhelming 5-0. They might be getting better though as they have covered in their last three contests.

The offense is definitely lacking the star power of recent teams, but running back Jaylen Warren is emerging. He has three straight games with more than 120 yards and has proven to be a workhorse as well, tallying at least 25 carries in each of those games. With a dependable running game, Mike Gundy does not have to ask QB Spencer Sanders to do too much, which is a good thing. With their defense, they can play a pretty conservative game and still win against most teams.

On defense, the Cowboys have posted great numbers, but Texas will be the best offense they have faced to date. They are giving up less than 100 yards per game on the ground, but that is going to be challenged by one of the best running backs in college football. If they can slow him down, they will give themselves a chance to be in the game. That is easier said than done as Texas has racked up the rushing yards this season.

Texas Needs a Quick Recovery to Keep Big 12 Title Hopes Alive

Last week was the Red River Rivalry, and it looked like Texas was going to make a mockery of it. At the end of the first quarter, the Longhorns led Oklahoma 28-7 and were ahead 41-23 late in the third quarter. But the Sooners stormed back to stun the Longhorns, snagging a 55-48 win in the final seconds.

Given that they were significantly outgained for the game I am not sure they were supposed to win, but they definitely could and should have. That is going to be a tough one to get over even though they are at home this week.

In the loss, QB Casey Thompson had a strong game with 388 yards, 5 TDs, and no interceptions. Heisman Trophy candidate Bijan Robinson rushed for 137 yards and a touchdown, reaching 100+ yards for the fifth time this season. In almost any other game their offensive production would have been enough to get the victory.

But the defense let them down when it mattered, and that is their weak spot this season. They are giving up 200 yards per game on the ground, and the Sooners just roughed them up for a lot more than that. They are just too easy to push around up front, and both Oklahoma and Arkansas did that to them.

Texas is also giving up 29 points per game, which puts them in the 90s in FBS. Their offense is good enough to overcome that, but it would be nice if they could stop somebody. Oklahoma State might be that somebody.

College Football Betting Trends to Consider for Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Longhorns

  • Oklahoma State is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win.
  • The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win.
  • The Cowboys are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Texas is 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.
  • The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on FieldTurf.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Longhorns Best Bet

Texas -3.5

The Longhorns are the better team, but they are going to have to prove it. I am hopeful that the coach can prevent this team from having too much of a hangover and avoid a letdown.

If the Longhorns can get the win they have a great chance of facing Oklahoma again in the Big 12 Championship Game. And with Oklahoma State undefeated there is no reason for the environment not to be a good one on Saturday, even though it is an early start. If Texas plays all four quarters, they will get the win and cover.

Oklahoma State vs Texas College Football Score Prediction

Texas 31, Oklahoma State 24

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