Penn State looks to remain perfect. They are 7-0 overall and 4-0 in conference play. They're defense is playing out of their minds, allowing just 14.2 points per game and just 12.2 over their last 5 games. The Nittany Lions have allowed 30+ points just once, on the road at USC but were still able to win the ball game. At home, their opponent's scoring numbers drop to just 11.25 points per contest, but this is not any ordinary offense on the other sideline.
The Ohio State Buckeyes rolled through 5 straight wins to start the season, scoring 46 points per game while only allowing 34 total across those 5 wins. However, then they went on the road and faced a very good team in Oregon and finally lost. Following a bye week, they won a tough battle at home against Nebraska, scoring a season low 21 points.
Will they be able to take down the Nittany Lions on the road? Or will Penn State stay perfect against the Buckeyes?
Venue & Location: Beaver Stadium (University Park, PA)
Date: Saturday, November 2nd, 2024
Kick Off: 12:00pm Eastern
Broadcast: FOX
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Will Howard has thrown for nearly 1,800 yards this season
Now, before we really get into this game, let's talk Strength of Schedule between these two teams.
Ohio State Opponent's Scoring Ranks, Offense, Defense
Akron: 125th, 123rd
Western Michigan: 41st, 114th
Marshall: 58th, 90th
Michigan State: 117th, 56th
Iowa: 55th, 35th
Oregon: 16th, 9th
Nebraska: 92nd, 23rd
Ohio State ranks 6th and 2nd in the country in those categories. Now let's do Penn State.
Penn State Opponent's Scoring Ranks, Offense, Defense
West Virginia: 70th, 91st
Bowling Green: 74th, 43rd
Kent State: 120th, 134th
Illinois: 81st, 51st
UCLA: 119th, 83rd
USC: 31st, 36th
Wisconsin: 61st, 20th
The Nittany Lions are 26th and 7th in the country. Essentially we have two Top 10 defenses going at it, against two very, very stacked offenses. As far as who these teams have played, obviously Ohio State has the upper hand by playing the Ducks, but I do not see Penn State underestimating this matchup at all. They know who is coming to town, and they know they'll need to not only slow down their offense, but also put points on the board themselves.
This will be an exciting matchup no matter the outcome, but here's how I see it going down.
Look. Defense wins championships, and both of these teams are National Title contenders. This weekend I see both defenses stepping up heavily in a grudge match of a game.
Both defenses are Top 15 in yards per rush allowed, giving up just 3 yards per rush. Penn State's numbers officially drop from 3.2 to 2.5 yards per attempt allowed at home, while the Buckeyes jump from 2.9 to 3.6. Either way, I don't see either team having much success on the ground this weekend. That means the game will be played through the air, and to be honest, I don't trust either of these QBs to win the game with their arm.
Both Will Howard and Drew Allar rely heavily on their rushing attack and defense to lead them to victories, and this weekend I think we see more of the same. Points are going to be a premium in this matchup, and I trust both defenses to contain their opponent and keep this game in the teens or low 20s.
Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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