Oregon State vs. San Francisco: Odds & Predictions | February 12, 2026
Written by: Colby Marchio
Published: Thu Feb 12, 2026, 11:04 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Last 7 Days: 17-5-1 (+10.66 Units)
Last 30 Days: 41-28 (+9.78 Units)
Oregon State vs. San Francisco Odds
Will the Dons get their revenge over the Beavers tonight?
You can find all of these great College Basketball odds on Lucky Rebel. Get a $1,250 deposit bonus & 50 Slot Spins when you sign up!
Spread
Oregon State: +8.5 (-106)
San Francisco: -8.5 (-114)
Total
Over: 141.0 (-111)
Under: 141.0 (-109)
Moneyline
Oregon State: +325
San Francisco: -460
Oregon State vs. San Francisco Bet
Friday Juniors are for the system spot after the spot play. Tonight, we are all in on the Dons getting their revenge over the Beavers. The first meeting between these teams came on December 30, when the Dons were a 4.5-point favorite and the Beavers won outright 70 to 62.
San Francisco is coming off back to back losses, falling to LMU on February 4, 75 to 84, as an 8.5-point home favorite. Then, in the "get right spot," they fell flat against Saint Mary's 79 to 54 and did not cover +12. The spot after the spot is backing the Dons covering 8.5 this evening.
Despite the tempo of this game projecting to be slower, I believe the Dons can build a near double digit lead. Haslametrics gives San Francisco a clear home court advantage, ranking them 238th. Meanwhile, Haslam has Oregon State ranked 27th worst in road home court metrics. Stating, "Oregon State may perform worse than expected here, as their efforts away from home, on average, have been more inferior than their performances at home."
Never Go Against the Family
Through 11 home games this season, the Dons are top 100 offensively. They attack second chance points, get to the free throw line at a high rate, and do not get their shots blocked. Defensively, they rank top 200 in eFG%. They do have bright spots, including ranking 91st in defensive rebounding. In conference play, they limit fouls and sit middle of the pack in turnover percentage defense. Outside of that, their defense is near the bottom of the conference, which is manageable because Oregon State is far worse.
The Beavers have played eight true road games this season. During that stretch, they rank 226th in eFG% offense and 224th in eFG% defense. They sit bottom 100 nationally in offensive rebounding, two-point percentage offense, and offensive block percentage. They also rank bottom 125 in defensive rebounding and free throw rate defense. In conference play, the Beavers rank bottom three in nearly every defensive category, along with free throw percentage and two-point percentage. They have been abysmal away from home in WCC play.
If the Dons stay efficient offensively, win the rebounding battle, and generate defensive stops, they should be in a strong position to cover 8.5.
Best Bet: San Francisco -8.5 (-114) on Lucky Rebel
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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