Football is officially over so all sports lovers have turned their heads towards College Hoops! Good thing we've been paying attention all season long, but lets' dive in to our best bets for Monday's NCAA Basketball betting board.
Plug your nose and back the Wildcats at home tonight. Sure they are missing Jaxson Robinson and already upset the Vols in Knoxville, but this team is so much better at home than they are anywhere else, and Tennessee has struggled on the road.
For starters, Kentucky is so much faster. They rank Top 25 in possessions per game, are the most efficient offense at Rupp Arena and take extremely good care of the basketball. The Wildcats are Top 100 in 3P Rate, top 40 in 3P%, and are 8th overall in eFG% as well. Defensively they jump from 101st to 87th in overall efficiency, but tonight I bet they dare Tennessee to keep up.
Tennessee is the best defense in the country, but offensively they love to slow things down, ranking 355th in possessions per game on the road. Offensively they fall from 52nd to 84th in overall efficiency and 94th to 221st in eFG%. Tennessee does NOT take care of the basketball on the road, and they give up tons of offensive boards as well. Their defense is still top-notch, but they are 259th in 3P Rate defense, giving up tons of looks from downtown. Even without Robinson, the Wildcats' are lethal from beyond the arc, shooting 12/24 in their first meeting.
I expect Kentucky to speed things up, daring the Volunteers to keep up offensively. Personally, I don't think they have the same kind of firepower as the Cats, and I don't think revenge is enough to take down Kentucky at Rupp Arena.
Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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