Lipscomb vs Austin Peay: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights | February 24, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Published: Mon Feb 24, 2025, 11:38 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Defense will take center stage in this rematch between Lipscomb and Austin Peay, with both teams trending heavily toward the under. Lipscomb dominated the first meeting, but Austin Peay returns home, where they play at a slower pace and boast one of the conference's best defensive units. With both teams coming off strong performances, this game sets up as a grind-it-out battle rather than a high-scoring affair.
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Lipscomb vs Austin Peay Odds
Can Lipscomb dominate Austin Peay once again?
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Spread
Lipscomb: -7.5 (-118)
Austin Peay: +7.5 (-102)
Total
Over: 144.5 (-118)
Under: 144.5 (-102)
Lipscomb vs Austin Peay Best Bet
A little rematch from January 18, when Lipscomb took down Austin Peay 88-60, covering the 15-point spread and pushing the total over 137.5 by 11 points. Both teams are coming off dominant wins in their previous games, making this the perfect under spot.
Rock Fight Incoming
Austin Peay is coming off a massive win over Queens as a 6.5-point road underdog, winning by 14 points. They shot 14-of-25 (56%) from beyond the arc while hitting nearly 50% from the floor. This is a team that has averaged 66.5 points per game on the road this season. Now back at home, they will play at a much slower pace. At home, Austin Peay has maintained the second-best effective field goal percentage defense in the conference. They also rank in the top five in both inside and outside defense, allowing an average of 69.6 points per game.
Offensively, they are one of the worst teams in the A-Sun—10th in two-point offense, free throw percentage, and free throw rate. They also rank dead last in offensive block percentage. Coming off their big win over Queens, I do not see them having the same offensive success, especially against a strong defensive team like Lipscomb.
The Bison rank 33rd in adjusted defensive efficiency away from home. They excel in rebounding, avoiding fouls, and defending the perimeter. Within the conference, they sit atop most major defensive statistical categories.
Offensively, they are among the better teams in the conference, but they are coming off a highly efficient shooting night against Northern Alabama, where they shot 50% from the floor and 40% from three, winning 75-63. They are also one of the slowest-paced teams in the conference.
This looks more like a rock fight, given how methodically both teams play and how defense is their strength. I do not anticipate this game going well over the total like it did a month ago, especially with how well both teams have performed defensively in recent matchups.
Trends strongly support the under:
-
- Lipscomb is 8-1 to the under as a road favorite.
- Lipscomb is 12-3 to the under as a road team.
- Lipscomb is 12-6 to the under after a win.
- Austin Peay is 5-1 to the under as a home underdog.
Best Bet: Under 144.5 (-102) on BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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