#9 Kansas vs. #5 Iowa State Picks and Predictions: Big 12 Basketball
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Fri Feb 13, 2026, 4:15 pm ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
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We've got ourselves a top 10 showdown in Hilton Coliseum this weekend as the No. 5 Iowa State Cyclones look to get their revenge over the No. 9 Kansas Jayhawks. Earlier this year at Allen Fieldhouse, the Jayhawks ended the Cyclones perfect season by handing them their first loss of the year in dominating fashion. Now the two meet up again in Ames, as TJ Otzelberger's team tries to right their wrongs. Will they be able to slow down this red hot Kansas squad? Or do the Jayhawks keep on rolling? Let's find out what our CBB experts are betting in this matchup by checking out their favorite picks.
Best Bet: Kansas/Iowa State Over 141.5 (-110) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook
Go check out what else I've got on my daily card, and view the latest odds at the best online sportsbooks.
#9 Kansas Jayhawks vs. #5 Iowa State Cyclones NCAA Basketball Insights
The Jayhawks will need a big game from Flory Bidunga if they want to beat the Cyclones in Ames this Saturday
Last time these two teams played, we lucked out with a middle. We bet the over 143.5 as soon as it opened, and the total was bought all the way up to 151.5, prompting us to take the under at the higher number. Low and behold, things worked out, as the game ended at 147 total points, cashing both our bets.
It was an ugly game for Iowa State, as they didn't contribute much in the 84-63 loss, but what can you expect? The Jayhawks are nearly unbeatable at the Phog, but this time around, there might be some Hilton Magic in the air. Kansas has not won at Ames in three straight seasons, but they are riding an eight game winning streak, which began over the Cyclones. Can they finally pull off a win?
Matchup Information – Kansas vs. Iowa State – February 14
- Venue & Location: Hilton Coliseum (Ames, IA)
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Kick Off: 1:00 p.m. Eastern
- Broadcast: ABC
Kansas vs. Iowa State Betting Odds
Odds are courtesy of Lucky Rebel, one of our favorite online sportsbooks, as of February 12, 2026 at 4:44 p.m. eastern. Sign up today with and get a $1,250 deposit bonus, as well as 50 slot spins immediately. Lucky Rebel Sportsbook offers a wide variety of unique markets across nearly every sport imaginable.
Spread
- Kansas +5.5 (-110)
- Iowa State -5.5 (-110)
Moneyline
- Kansas +190
- Iowa State -240
Total
- Over 141.5 (-110)
- Under 141.5 (-110)
#9 Kansas vs. #5 Iowa State NCAA Basketball Picks and Predictions
Milan Momcilovic and the Cyclones have won three straight meetings against the Jayhawks at Hilton Coliseum
Kansas vs. Iowa State Prediction: Iowa State Wins, Kansas Covers, Over 141.5
Best Bet: Kansas/Iowa State Over 141.5 (-110) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook
I couldn't quite bring myself to back the Cyclones in this spot, as the number is a bit too high for me, and I don't have all the faith I need in the Jayhawks to back them on the spread. However, I will be playing this exactly how I played the last game. I am booking this over early on, with the hopes that it moves up, possibly enough for us to play another middle. Regardless, both teams should score in the 70s in this game.
We only saw 65 possessions the last time these teams met, but it's more than fair to say the Cyclones didn't do their part offensively. They only shot 37% overall and just 55% from the stripe, so I expect them to shoot much better on their home floor. Plus, the Cyclones are coming off a loss to TCU on the road. Clearly, they were looking ahead to this showdown, and they'll need to be fully focused, as the Jayhawks had a couple extra days of rest. Plus Darryn Peterson did not play at all against Arizona on Monday night. He should be good to go this weekend, but at this point, who knows what to expect out of the No. 1 overall NBA Draft pick.
Either way, we should see ample opportunity for points. Neither team is slow, and sure they are rock solid defensively. But the Jayhawks love to get out and run whenever they are given a fast break opportunity, and the Cyclones eFG% climbs from an already stellar 58.3% to over 61.4% at Hilton, putting them in the top five in the country. Plus they are 13-0 on their home floor.
Get your popcorn ready, because we are in for an absolute thriller on Saturday afternoon.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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