Iowa vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction & Picks: Will the Hawkeyes stay hot from three?

Eddie Griffin

Written by: Eddie Griffin

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Iowa vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction & Picks: Will the Hawkeyes stay hot from three? cover


After disappointing road losses last weekend, Iowa and Michigan State will look to get back in the win column tonight as the Hawkeyes (12-7, 4-4 Big Ten) and Spartans (13-7, 5-4 Big Ten) meet in East Lansing.

Tonight’s matchup at the Breslin Center is set for 7:00 pm ET, and it will be televised by FS1.

On Saturday, Iowa’s four-game win streak came to an end at Ohio State, who lit up the Hawkeyes for 93 points in a 16-point win.

Things weren’t any more pleasant for the Spartans on Sunday at Indiana, who rode Trayce Jackson-Davis’s 31 points and 15 rebounds to an 82-69 win in Bloomington.

Which team will pick up an important win tonight? Read on for our Iowa vs Michigan State prediction, as well as our betting picks and analysis for tonight’s matchup in East Lansing.

Iowa vs Michigan State Odds

Odds are via BetOnline as of Thursday, January 26, 2023, at 3:00 pm ET. This article may also include odds from our other recommended legal sports betting sites.


  • Iowa +2.5 (-118)
  • Michigan State -2.5 (-104)


  • Over 146.5 (-110)
  • Under 146.5 (-110)


  • Iowa +115
  • Michigan State -138

Can Iowa Punish Michigan State from the Perimeter?

Iowa had a pretty rough game defensively at Ohio State, as they allowed a season high in points. The Buckeyes shot 56.3% (36 of 64) from the field overall, including 8 of 16 (50%) from three, with fantastic freshman Brice Sensabaugh going for a season-high 27 points (10 of 12 FG, 4 of 5 3PT, 3 of 3 FT).

But while the Hawkeyes weren’t able to keep up offensively and didn’t even reach their season average in scoring, it wasn’t all bad.

In the loss in Columbus, the Hawkeyes made 11 of 24 (45.8%) from three, which marked the eighth time this season that they have hit 10+ threes in a game.

It was also Iowa’s fourth straight game shooting 40% or better from outside, and in that stretch, the Hawkeyes are shooting 43.2% (41 of 95) from outside.

Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction and Picks

Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction: Iowa to win

Iowa vs Michigan State Picks: Iowa ML (Best Value: BetMGM) & Iowa team total over 72.5 (Best Value: Bovada Sportsbook)

I don’t think there’s a lot to read into Michigan State’s loss at Indiana. The Hoosiers are better at home than on the road, just as the Spartans are.

Also, Tyson Walker, the team’s leading scorer, had been hit with a stomach virus a couple of days before the game in Bloomington and wasn’t close to 100 percent.

There’s every chance that they bounce back tonight and get the win at home, especially if Walker is closer to full health.

But with the way that Iowa has been shooting from outside lately, I actually like the Hawkeyes to come away with their fourth straight win over the Spartans.

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Eddie Griffin
Eddie Griffin

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and betting on sports for over a decade and has been with Betting News since 2021. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter.

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