Auburn vs. Missouri: Odds & Insights | January 14, 2026
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Update: Wed Jan 14, 2026, 2:40 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Last 7 Days: 6-9 (-4.82 Units)
Last 30 Days: 21-31 (-15.64 Units)
Full fade!!!
Auburn vs. Missouri Odds
Can Missouri stay perfect at home?
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Spread
Auburn: -1.0 (-107)
Missouri: +1.0 (-114)
Total
Over: 154.0 (-107)
Under: 154.0 (-113)
Moneyline
Auburn: -113
Missouri: -107
Auburn vs. Missouri Bet
Nothing beats SEC basketball, and tonight we get an incredible matchup between two Tigers as Auburn heads to Columbia to take on Missouri. Both teams have been playing solid basketball. Auburn is coming off a big win on Saturday, while Missouri is coming off a tough loss after previously knocking off Florida and Kentucky. Which team keeps its momentum alive against top 100 competition, and which Tiger comes out on top this evening?
I am here to fade Auburn coming off its win over Arkansas on Saturday. The Tigers took down the Razorbacks 95 to 73 as a short home favorite. That victory marked their biggest win since NC State on December 3, and their second biggest overall, per Bart Torvik's rankings, since St. John's on November 26. Outside of those three wins, Auburn has lost its other 6 games against top 50 opponents. They have endured a far tougher schedule than Missouri, with the Tigers from Columbia sitting 201 spots behind Auburn in strength of schedule.
Tigers < Tigers
However, Haslametrics grades Missouri as the 19th best team in away home court metrics, while Auburn ranks seventh worst. Missouri also holds a clear edge in consistency, ranking 182 spots ahead of Auburn. Tonight marks only Auburn's third true road game of the season. They may have played the tougher schedule, but true road games are where teams are truly tested. In their first two, they are 0-2, losing to Arizona by 29 and Georgia by four in overtime. Small sample size, but the numbers are alarming. Their effective field goal percentage on both offense and defense has been brutal, ranking 310th offensively and second worst defensively. On top of that, they sit outside the top 100 in three point percentage offense, offensive block percentage, and both two and three point defense.
Despite the losing record against top 100 teams, Missouri still owns some impressive wins over Minnesota, Florida, and Kentucky. Their most recent loss to Ole Miss is understandable, as it came immediately after wins over the Gators and Wildcats. At home this season, Missouri has maintained a top 50 offense. They have excelled at attacking the glass, ranking sixth in the nation in two point percentage. They are also 27th in offensive rebounding and 65th in three point percentage, while ranking just 245th in three point rate. This is a team that does not force threes, but converts them at a high level when they do take them.
I think Missouri is the better side to be on this evening, especially with Auburn coming off one of its biggest win of the season. I am still not fully sold on Auburn, and this sets up as a strong spot for Missouri to get back on track at home.
Best Bet: Missouri Moneyline (-107) on Lucky Rebel
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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