#20 Arkansas vs. #7 Florida Picks and Predictions: SEC Hoops

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Published: Fri Feb 27, 2026, 5:00 pm ET

Read Time: 5 minutes

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As the regular season comes to a close, the No. 7 Florida Gators are alone on top of the SEC, two games ahead of both Alabama and Arkansas. Things could get dicey as they host the No. 20 Razorbacks this Saturday in Gainesville, and John Calipari's team is looking to get hot before the tournament. However, they are nearly double digit underdogs this weekend in Florida, and the Gators might be playing the best basketball in the whole country. Let's check out our expert picks to see who might come out on top in this SEC Showdown.

Best Bet: Reuben Chinyelu (FLA) Double Double (-105) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

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#20 Arkansas Razorbacks vs. #7 Florida Gators NCAA Basketball Insights

Meleek Thomas and the Razorbacks have struggled on the road at times this season - Florida Arkansas Picks

Meleek Thomas and the Razorbacks have struggled on the road at times this season

The Hogs have won two straight, five of their last six, and are 11-4 in SEC play. Only a double digit overtime loss on the road in Tuscaloosa separates them from the Tide in the conference rankings, but they might still have some fight in them. Currently projected as a five seed, Arkansas is looking to finish strong and make a run in the SEC tournament to jump into consideration for a top four seed. But with all that success, they face quite possibly the hottest team in the country.

Florida is 17-2 since losing back to back games against potential one seeds in the tournament to Duke and UConn. And this is their toughest remaining game on the schedule. Todd Golden is going to make sure his team is focused, and crosses the finish line strong, setting the tone for the locker room going into March. But did they remember to close the gates? Or are the Hogs on the loose?

Matchup Information – Arkansas vs. Florida – February 28

  • Venue & Location: Stephen C. O'Connell Center (Gainesville, FL)
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Kick Off: 8:30 p.m. Eastern
  • Broadcast: ESPN

Arkansas vs. Florida Betting Odds

Odds are courtesy of Lucky Rebel, one of our favorite online sportsbooks, as of February 27, 2026 at 4:26 p.m. eastern. Sign up today with and get a $1,250 deposit bonus, as well as 50 slot spins immediately. Lucky Rebel Sportsbook offers a wide variety of unique markets across nearly every sport imaginable.

Spread

  • Arkansas +9.5 (-118)
  • Florida -9.5 (-102)

Moneyline

  • Arkansas +360
  • Florida -480

Total

  • Over 167.5 (-110)
  • Under 167.5 (-110)

#20 Arkansas vs. #7 Florida NCAA Basketball Picks and Predictions

Rueben Chinyelu averages a double double for the Gators this season - Florida Arkansas Picks

Rueben Chinyelu averages a double double for the Gators this season

Arkansas vs. Florida Prediction: Florida Wins and Covers, Over 167.5

Best Bet: Reuben Chinyelu (FLA) Double Double (-105) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

Now, you have to build this out yourself as a same game parlay, but it's light work for this guy. For reference, his original rebound line is 13+ for even money, showing you he dominates the glass, and the Hogs won't have an answer. Reuben Chinyelu leads the Gators with 11.5 rebounds per game, ranking third in the country. He also averages 11.3 points per game, so all we need from him is a typical Saturday outing.

Chinyelu has 16 double doubles this season, playing in all 28 games so far. He starts, but only plays about 24.4 minutes per game, so we'll need him to do his work quickly, but again, nobody on this Razorbacks team can compete with the 6'10" 265 pound kid from Nigeria. Trevon Brazille won't be as strong, Nick Pringle can't jump as high. The Gators are a team that run plenty of their offense through the front court, and I see their center getting plenty of touches.

He averages 12.3 rebounds per game at home, and takes over eight field goal attempts, shooting nearly 60% from the field. Chinyelu is efficient, he knows why he's in the game and plays his role, and Arkansas' front court is bottom 100 in offensive rebounds allowed. There should be plenty of put backs to check both boxes of this SGP.

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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