Arizona vs UCLA Basketball Prediction & Picks (2023 Pac-12 Tournament Final)
Arizona and UCLA have been the two best teams in the Pac-12–and in all of college basketball–all season long. Tonight, they will face off in the Pac-12 Tournament final at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas (10:30 pm ET, ESPN).
Both the second-seeded Wildcats (27-6) and top-seeded Bruins (29-4) already know that they will be a high seed in the March Madness bracket, but that doesn’t mean tonight’s championship clash will be lacking in intensity.
Who will lift the trophy at T-Mobile Arena? Read on for our Arizona vs UCLA basketball prediction, as well as our picks and analysis for the matchup between the Wildcats and Bruins.
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Arizona vs UCLA Odds
Odds are via FanDuel as of Saturday, March 11, 2023.
- Arizona +1.5 (-120)
- UCLA -1.5 (-102)
- Over 147.5 (-110)
- Under 147.5 (-110)
- Arizona -105
- UCLA -114
Will UCLA Down Arizona with Offense or Defense?
In the regular season, the Wildcats and Bruins split their two meetings, with Arizona winning in Tucson and UCLA winning in Los Angeles.
Notably, Arizona, the best offensive team in the Pac-12, won with defense, while UCLA, the best defensive team in the Pac-12, won with offense.
When the two teams met at Arizona on January 21, the Wildcats held the Bruins to a season low in points in a 58-52 win. In the loss, UCLA shot only 20% (4 of 20) from three and 31.3% (21 of 67) overall from the field. It is the only time thus far this season that the Bruins have been held under 60 points.
They more than made up for that performance in the rematch at Pauley Pavillion last Saturday, as they closed out the regular season with an 82-73 win over the Wildcats. It was their highest output in Pac-12 play this season and their only 80-point showing in Pac-12 play in the regular season.
Based on each team’s results this season, the Bruins are more likely to come out on top.
Arizona may be the conference’s highest-scoring team, but they are last in scoring defense, allowing 71.9 PPG. When UCLA has scored 75 or more points this season, they are 16-1 SU and 13-3-1 ATS.
If defense dominates, things are also favorable for the Bruins. When Arizona has been held below 75 points this season, they are 4-4 SU and 2-6 ATS. The Bruins have allowed 75 or more points only three times this season, and they are 29-1 SU and 20-9-1 ATS when allowing fewer than 75 points.
Arizona vs UCLA Prediction and Picks
Arizona vs UCLA Prediction: UCLA to win
Arizona vs UCLA Picks: UCLA ML (Best Value: BetRivers) & UCLA team total over 73.5 (Best Value: BetRivers)