Prediction and Best Bets for Heat vs Knicks Game 5

After winning both of their home games, the Miami Heat are a win away from reaching the Eastern Conference finals for the second straight season. Tonight, they will look to close out the New York Knicks in Game 5 at Madison Square Garden (7:30 pm ET, TNT).

After splitting the first two games of the series at MSG, Miami took care of business in Games 3 and 4 at the Kaseya Center. On Monday, double-doubles by Jimmy Butler (27 points, 10 assists, six rebounds) and Bam Adebayo (23 points, 13 rebounds) led the Heat to a 109-101 win and a 3-1 series lead.

Will Miami finish things off tonight in the Big Apple? Read on for our prediction and best bets for Heat vs Knicks Game 5.

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Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Odds

Odds are via BetOnline as of Wednesday, May 10, 2023, at 9:05 am ET.

Spread

• Miami Heat +3.5 (-110)
• New York Knicks -3.5 (-110)

Over/Under

• Over 209.5 (-110)
• Under 209.5 (-110)

Moneyline

• Miami Heat +138
• New York Knicks -164

Is There Any Way Back for the Knicks?

The Knicks may be the higher seed, but the Heat have clearly been the better team to this point in the series.

Monday's game was the latest example. The Knicks led only twice in the game, both inside the final two minutes of the first quarter. And when Kyle Lowry nailed a jumper to put the Heat ahead 31-30 at the end of the first quarter, the Heat took a lead that they would not let go of the rest of the way.

The Heat won three of four quarters in Game 4, with the Knicks outscoring them 20-19 in the fourth quarter. That wasn't nearly enough for them to catch up to Miami, as the closest they would get in the final 12 minutes was six points.

For the series, Miami has now won 11 of 16 quarters, which really underlines just how much better they have been than New York.

Is there any way the Knicks can get back into the series at this point? They have the chance to have two home games, but with the way things have gone, it does not feel likely at all that the series will return to MSG for a Game 7.

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction and Best Bets

Prediction for Heat vs Knicks: Heat to win

Best Bets for Heat vs Knicks: Heat +3.5 (Best Value: BetUS) & Heat team total over 103.5 points (Best Value: BetMGM)

It is understandable that the Knicks are favored at home, but given how the Heat have dominated the series thus far, there's a fair argument that the number is a point or two off.

That said, whatever the spread was, I would still be taking the Heat. They have been the better team and would have already be in the midst of their preparations for the Eastern Conference finals if Jimmy Butler had not missed Game 2.

Best Player Prop Bets for Heat vs Knicks

• Bam Adebayo over 8.5 rebounds (Best Value: BetOnline)

Adebayo was busy on the boards in the two games in Miami, grabbing 12 rebounds in Game 3 in addition to his 13 in Game 4. Last time the Heat were looking to clinch a series, Adebayo had a triple-double (20 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists) in Miami's thrilling Game 5 win at Milwaukee.

• Max Strus over 11.5 points (Best Value: BetOnline)
• Max Strus over 2.5 made three-pointers (Best Value: Bovada Sportsbook)

Strus reached double figures only once in his first six games in this year's playoffs, but he has caught fire in the last three games. He had three made threes 17 points in Game 2, three more threes and 19 points in Game 3, and four threes and 16 points in Game 4.

Where to Bet on Heat vs Knicks

Here are four legal sports betting sites that we highly recommend and have reviewed, where you can bet on this year's NBA postseason action.

This is obviously a very popular time of year for NBA betting, and you can get in on the action at any of the top sports betting sites out there.

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