Hawks vs Heat (NBA Play-In Tournament): Predictions & Best Bets for the #7 Seed Showdown

The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat weren't able to secure a direct spot in the NBA playoffs, but they have two cracks at landing one of the coveted first-round spots, starting with tonight's head-to-head encounter (7:30 pm ET, TNT) for the seventh seed and a matchup with the Boston Celtics.

Trae Young and the Hawks (41-41) finished seventh in the Eastern Conference, three games behind Jimmy Butler and the Heat (44-38). As a result, Miami will host tonight's matchup at the Kaseya Center, where they went 27-14 ATS in the regular season.

Who will lock up the seventh seed in the East? Read on for our Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat prediction, as well as our best bets for the matchup.

Looking for More NBA Picks?

At Betting News, you can find aggregated NBA picks from several reputable industry sources for this and every NBA game.

And if you are interested in checking out NBA picks from other sources, there are a number of trustworthy sports handicapping services that we recommend.

Find trusted services with free offers and guaranteed picks!

Buy VIP Picks

One of those sources is Doc's Sports, which has a great offer going right now.

Doc's Sports offers a lot of free picks and content, but they also offer $60 worth of premium sports picks free for new premium signups.

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Odds

Odds are via BetOnline as of Tuesday, April 11, 2023, at 2:00 pm ET.

Spread

• Atlanta Hawks +5 (-110)
• Miami Heat -5 (-110)

Over/Under

• Over 227.5 (-110)
• Under 227.5 (-110)

Moneyline

• Atlanta Hawks +184
• Miami Heat -220

Will the Hawks Fail to Fly Away from Home Yet Again?

In the regular season, only seven NBA tea, ms finished with a winning record away from home. That includes both teams in action tonight in Miami, as both the Hawks finished at 17-24 SU on the road.

So, the Hawks certainly aren't alone in not exactly thriving on the road. But will that prove to be what keeps them from reaching the playoffs for the third straight season?

In their final ten road games in the regular season, Atlanta posted three SU wins and four ATS wins, with losses accounting for their results in the other matchups.

In two trips to south Florida, the Hawks came out on the short end in both, falling 117-109 on March 4 and 130-128 two days later. They didn't cover as a three-point underdog in the first matchup, but they covered as a 2.5-point underdog in the next meeting.

How is tonight's matchup likely to pan out for Atlanta? In the regular season, they were 9-16 SU and 11-14-0 ATS when an underdog of five or fewer points.

By comparison, the Heat were 24-12 SU and 17-17-2 ATS when favored by five or fewer points in the regular season. So, the percentages certainly favor the home team locking up a matchup with the Celtics tonight, even if they don't cover the spread in the process.

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction and Best Bets

Prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat: Heat to win

Best Bet for Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat: Miami Heat team total over 116.5 (Best Value: BetOnline)

No team in the play-in or playoffs covered fewer times in the regular season than the Heat, who posted a 31-49-2 ATS mark. That was second only to the disappointing Dallas Mavericks (30-49-3 ATS) in the entire league.

So, backing them to cover the spread doesn't exactly shape up as the best move to make here despite a solid 27-14 SU record at the Kaseya Center.

But I do like the home team to snag the #7 seed here, and with the Hawks being deficient defensively, the team total for the Heat has a lot of value in this spot.

Where to Bet on Hawks vs Heat

Here are four legal sports betting sites that we highly recommend and have reviewed, where you can bet on this year's NBA postseason action.

1

4.9/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
Up to $1,250 + 50 Free Slots Spins
See our review »

$1,250 Welcome Bonus
Bet Live on Your Favorite Sports
Earn More with Rebel Rewards!

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

2

4.8/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
55% Welcome Bonus w/ code BNBOL55
See our review »

Up to $250 in Free Bets + 100 Spins
$10 Cash Bonus w/ Code BNEWS
Fastest Payouts

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

3

4.7/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
Get 20% Cashback Weekly
See our review »

10% Daily Cashback
10% Weekly Cashback Every Thursday
Get VIP Rewards for Your Sports Bets

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

4

4.6/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
100% up to $1,000 Sign-Up Bonus
See our review »

Bonus Code: WELCOME1000
Monthly Cash Prizes
Vast Lines and Games Selection

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

5

4.5/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
55% Welcome Bonus w/ code BNSB55
See our review »

$250 in Free Bets with First Deposit
Same Game Parlays
Frequent Odds Boosters

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

6

4.4/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
50% Up to $750
See our review »

Best Prop Bets Selection
Boosted Odds on Parlays
One of the Oldest and Trusted Sites

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

7

4.3/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
Multiple Bonuses for New Players
See our review »

125% Promo Bucks Up to $2,500
100% Cash Bonus Up to $2,000
Weekly Rebates!

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

8

4.2/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
Deposit $100, Get $50 Free
See our review »

Reduced Juice for Spreads & Totals
Fast Crypto Deposits & Payouts
Winners & High Rollers Welcome!

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

9

4.1/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
125% Welcome Bonus
See our review »

Anonymous Crypto Betting
125% Welcome Bonus
Great Live Betting Selection

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

10

4.0/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
125% Deposit Bonus
See our review »

Fast & Easy Payouts
Best Deposit & Free Play Bonuses
Largest Selection of Sports & Games

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

This is a very popular time of year, and you can get in on the action at any of the top sports betting sites out there.

But these four books are all reputable names, and you can trust them with your betting funds.