Rogerio Bontorin vs. Manel Kape UFC 275 Betting: Will Kape climb the rankings with another win?

This weekend’s UFC 275 fight card will feature a main-card flyweight bout between Angolan fighter Manel Kape and Brazilian fighter Rogerio Bontorin.

The headline event pairs Glover Teixeira and Jiri Prochazka for the UFC light heavyweight title. The chief support has Valentina Schevchenko defending her women’s flyweight belt against the challenge of Taila Santos, and you can read our pre-fight preview on this site.

This article focuses on Kape v Bontorin as it has all the ingredients of a thriller, not least some eye-catching betting markets and odds. By the end of this page, you will be up to speed on the form of both fighters, the current betting odds and our prediction.

Rogerio Bontorin vs. Manel Kape Betting Odds and Fight Information

Fight Information

• Manel Kape is a popular fighter from Angola who brings a professional MMA record of 17 wins against six defeats.
• Rogerio Bontorin is a Brazilian mixed martial arts competitor with a 20-fight card that consists of 16 wins against four defeats.
• This is a chance for these two fighters to climb the rankings, with only one sneaking inside the UFC’s top 10 fighters at the weight.
• Venue & Location: Singapore Indoor Stadium (Kallang, Singapore)
• Start Time: approximately 10:45 p.m. Eastern Time (10:45 a.m. local time)

Rogerio Bontorin vs. Manel Kape Betting Odds

Odds are from Bovada Sportsbook.

Moneyline

• Rogerio Bontorin +190
• Manel Kape -230

Will the fight go the distance?

• Yes +150
• No -180

Bontorin enters as underdog despite higher ranking

This fight is incredibly interesting as we have a nailed-on favourite with the bookies who is ranked 14th in the flyweight division against an opponent who enters the octagon comfortably inside the top 10. Brazilian Bontorin can be found sitting eighth in the flyweight pecking order, and that’s sure to catch the eye of backers looking for a nice price upset.

The 30-year-old from Parana enters with a professional MMA record showing 16 wins against four defeats, and followers of the UFC will remember Rogerio as a former BJJ champion which – coming from Brazil – is no mean feat.

It would be a mistake to take this man lightly, and if anyone is foolish enough to do so, including Kape, they could be made to pay a hefty price. He has a background that ensures he’ll want to go to the ground early and grapple with an opponent who is more comfortable standing and striking.

Last five fights for Rogerio Bontorin

• Lost on points
• No contest
• Lost via KO
• Lost on points
• Won via TKO

Having looked through Bontorin’s recent form, it becomes obvious why he has been written off by the bookies and is at a high price.

The Brazilian has lost all but one of his last four UFC fights, with the spare being a no contest which was originally a win, but it was overturned after he missed weight and then failed a drugs test.

The most recent win for Rogerio came in August 2019 when stopping Raulian Paiva in Uruguay. That was his fourth win on the bounce, but he has been unable to recapture that form and looks there for the taking on Saturday.

If you intend to back the underdog, you may be interested to learn that three of his last four wins came inside the distance – two TKOs and one submission. The longer this bout goes, the less chance Bontorin has of winning; it would seem.

Kape seeks third straight win

Kape has ruled at bantamweight in a few of MMA’s smaller promotions and some UFC feeder promotions, but he hasn’t yet scaled the dizzy heights of Dana White’s banner. You will find the 5ft 5inch fighter ranked a lowly 14th at flyweight, and that’s surprising as he’s not competing in a particularly busy category.

A win on Saturday on the biggest stage he has ever performed on would surely move Kape up the rankings, and it would be a surprise not to see him rubbing shoulders with the top 10 if he gets the desired result in Singapore.

Last five fights for Manel Kape

• Won via TKO
• Won via KO
• Lost on points
• Lost on points
• Won via TKO

Value lies with a KO win for Kape

As you can see from the form posted above, in Kape’s last five UFC fights, he enters the octagon with a mixed bag of results that makes him difficult to trust in the pre-fight betting.

Kape is a hard-hitting fighter with the power to take opponents out with punches, knees and kicks, but often when an opponent stands up to his striking and a fight goes the distance, he struggles.

He searches for a hat trick that would breathe new life into his career after winning each of his last two bouts in impressive fashion.

He knocked out Ode Osbourne with a flying knee and barrage of punches on UFC 265 in Texas last summer, but that came only after he had missed the weight, meaning the bout was fought at a catchweight.

We last saw Kape in action when stopping Zhalgas Zhumagulov in Las Vegas just before Christmas, another winning performance that caught the attention of new fans and made headlines.

Kape has won his last two by KO, and he has won only once on points, making it easier for backers to play the method of victory market.

Rogerio Bontorin vs. Manel Kape Betting Tip – Kape to win via KO/TKO/DQ (+125 at Bovada Sportsbook)

Other UFC 275 Content at Betting News

• UFC 275 Full Fight Card & Odds
• Glover Teixeira vs. Jiri Prochazka Prediction & Picks
• Zhang Weili vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk 2 Prediction & Picks
• Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos Prediction & Picks
• Jack Della Maddalena vs. Ramazan Emeev Prediction & Picks