Mitchell vs Ige Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for UFC Vegas 79: Thug Nasty Returns to Win Column

Betting News' UFC Vegas 79 coverage continues with this weekend's featherweight co-main event between Bryce Mitchell and Dan Ige. It's going to be a thrilling three-round bout that die-hard and casual MMA fans alike won't want to miss.

Bryce Mitchell says that him and Dan Ige are planning "something special" that has never been done in the UFC before in their fight

I wonder what it could be 🤔 pic.twitter.com/vgljivYlwr

— #Ranbets (@RanboGG) September 20, 2023

A victory for either fighter would give them a boost when it comes to the featherweight rankings. Mitchell currently ranks at No. 10 in the division while Ige sits at No. 12. Considering how neither man has received a title shot before, winning on Saturday is crucial.

In the meantime, this article is your one-stop shop for all of your Mitchell vs. Ige betting needs. Continue reading to find out the latest co-main event odds, as well as my prediction and best bets for the upcoming scrap.

UFC Vegas 79: Mitchell vs Ige Odds

Odds courtesy of SportsBetting as of Wednesday, Sept. 20 at 9:04 a.m. ET.

Moneyline

• Bryce Mitchell (-200)
• Dan Ige (+170)

Will the Fight Go the Distance?

• Yes (-190)
• No (+155)

Round Total

• Over 2.5 Rounds (-225)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (+185)

Mitchell vs Ige Tale of the Tape

Bryce Mitchell — Dan Ige

• Record: 15-1 — 17-6
• Height: 5'10" — 5'7"
• Reach: 70" — 71"
• Weight: 145 lbs — 145 lbs
• Age: 28 — 32
• Fighting Stance: Southpaw — Orthodox
• Knockouts: 0 — 5

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UFC Vegas 79: Mitchell vs Ige Fight Preview

Oddsmakers are clearly siding with one fighter in the UFC Vegas 79 co-main event. SportsBetting currently has Mitchell available as the -200 moneyline favorite, which carries an implied win probability of 66.7%.

Mitchell is a dangerous fighter, having begun his career 9-0 before debuting in the UFC back in 2019. He then proceeded to win his next five fights in a row, securing four of those victories by unanimous decision.

Unfortunately, Mitchell's undefeated ways came to an end at UFC 282. "Thug Nasty" stepped into the ring with Ilia Topuria in Las Vegas, losing via second-round submission.

It's been more than nine months since his last fight, though, leaving time to tell if he'll have any cage rust.

Meanwhile, it'll be interesting to see which version of Ige shows up this weekend.

On one hand, it wasn't that long ago that the 32-year-old was stuck in the worst stretch of his career. Ige fought to a 1-4 record from July 2020 to June 2022, even losing three fights in a row.

On the other hand, he's coming off back-to-back victories over Damon Jackson and Nate Landwehr, defeating them by KO and unanimous decision, respectively. If he's successful on Saturday, it'll be Ige's first three-fight winning streak in over three years.

When it comes to statistics, Mitchell has the edge across the board. He's the more accurate striker (59% vs. 45%) and absorbs fewer significant strikes per minute (1.71 vs. 3.69) than Ige.

Furthermore, Mitchell is a fantastic grappler who nearly triples his opponent's takedown output (3.26 vs. 1.15).

Needless to say, Ige has an uphill battle ahead of him.

UFC Vegas 79: Mitchell vs Ige Betting Trends and Markets

If you're trying to get a better idea of how the UFC Vegas 79 co-main event will unfold, SportsBetting has several Mitchell vs. Ige prop markets worth examining.

When it comes to the length of the fight, it looks like it'll be a long one. SportsBetting is favoring that the fight will go the distance (-190) and the Over on the 2.5-round total (-225).

Keeping that in mind, it isn't shocking that Mitchell's likeliest method of victory is to win by points at -115 odds. Six of his last eight fights have gone the distance with him emerging victorious in each of them.

If there's an upset, Ige is most likely to win by KO/TKO or disqualification (+400). Two of his last three victories came via knockout, however, it's worth noting that Mitchell has never been knocked out in his career.

As for round + method combo betting, Mitchell is favored to win by first-round submission (+1000). A whopping eight of his nine career submission victories occurred in the first round, however, Ige has yet to be finished.

UFC Vegas 79: Mitchell vs Ige Prediction

Mitchell is the correct pick to win at UFC Vegas 79. He's the more well-rounded competitor and his grappling skills truly give him an edge. Ige struggles against proficient wrestlers, highlighted by his being taken down nine times during his loss to Movsar Evloev.

Expect Mitchell to return to his winning ways as he ascends the featherweight rankings.

Prediction: Bryce Mitchell

UFC Vegas 79: Mitchell vs Ige Best Bet

As for the best bet, let's take Mitchell to win by points (-115). On top of his going the distance more often than not as of late, it's a good bet since Ige is great at avoiding getting finished.

I see this being a lengthy fight where Mitchell tires Ige out with his grappling before securing the win with support from the judges.

Best Bet: Bryce Mitchell via Points (-115 on SportsBetting)

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UFC Vegas 79 Information FAQ

When is UFC Vegas 79?

• UFC Vegas 79 will take place on Saturday, September 23, 2023.

Where is UFC Vegas 79?

• UFC Vegas 79 will take place at the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.

What time does UFC Vegas 79 start?

• Preliminary Card Start Time: 4 p.m. ET
• Main Card Start Time: 7 p.m. ET

How can I watch UFC Vegas 79?

• Both UFC Vegas 79 main and preliminary cards can be viewed exclusively on ESPN+.

How can I bet on UFC Vegas 79?

• All of the top online sports betting sites will have UFC Vegas 79 odds, but here are some of the sites we recommend most for MMA betting enthusiasts.