PGA Championship 2026 Odds, Preview & Picks
Written by: Danny Burke
Last Update: Wed May 13, 2026, 1:20 pm ET
Read Time: 12 minutes
golf
Golf's second major of the season takes place this week at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania, where the game's best will compete in the 108th PGA Championship.
The PGA Championship features the largest field of the four majors, with 156 players competing, including nearly every golfer inside the top 100 of the Official World Golf Ranking. So, which players are set up well to contend for the Wanamaker Trophy? Below, I'll break down everything you need to know for the 2026 PGA Championship, including odds, course preview and picks.
PGA Championship Odds
Courtesy of Lucky Rebel
Scottie Scheffler (+475)
Rory McIlroy (+900)
Cam Young (+1200)
Jon Rahm (+1600)
Ludvig Aberg (+1800)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Bryson DeChambeau (+2200)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2200)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2800)
Brooks Koepka (+3500)
Collin Morikawa (+4500)
Patrick Cantlay (+4500)
Chris Gotterup (+5000)
Justin Rose (+5000)
Justin Thomas (+5000)
Aronimink Course Preview
Par: 70
Yardage: 7,394 (Long)
Difficulty: 6th easiest (2018 season)
Bunkers: 176 (Most on TOUR)
Water in Play: 3 holes (10th fewest)
Fairways: Bentgrass (14th narrowest)
Rough: Fescue/Poa Annua (3.5 to 4 inches, long)
Greens: Bentgrass (2nd largest, fast)
Aronimink Golf Club places pressure on every aspect of a player's game and offers very few weaknesses to exploit. While the course is long on paper, it is far more about positioning, precision and avoiding mistakes than simply overpowering the layout.
Off the tee, players will need to navigate narrow landing areas, sloping fairways and an overwhelming amount of strategically placed bunkers. Players who consistently find the proper spots in the fairway should gain a sizable advantage into the greens, while misses can quickly lead to difficult lies from the rough or blocked approach angles.
Approach play should be one of the biggest separators this week, especially from the 150 to 200-yard range. Elevated greens, uneven stances and demanding pin locations place a heavy emphasis on distance control and trajectory with mid and long irons.
Around the greens, Aronimink becomes even more demanding. Tightly mown runoff areas, collection zones and slick Bentgrass putting surfaces force players to rely heavily on creativity, touch and scrambling ability. Lag putting will also be critical given the size and speed of these greens.
Overall, Aronimink sets up as a course that should reward complete golfers who can consistently keep the ball in play, control their irons and limit costly mistakes on a difficult set of par 4s.
When building my model this week, the focus starts with SG: APP, good drive percentage, proximity from 150 to 200 yards and SG: Par 4 scoring on difficult setups. From there, I'm weighing scrambling, bogey avoidance, birdie or better percentage, SG: PUTT on difficult greens, three-putt avoidance and comp course history.
PGA Championship 2026 Picks
NOTE: A quarter unit is allocated to outright plays and a full unit on the top finishing positions, which are including ties unless stated otherwise, and head-to-head wagers.
As always, be sure to shop around for the best numbers, as PGA odds can vary significantly from book to book.
Ludvig Aberg: To Win (20/1) | Top 20 (-108)
Yeah, yeah, I'm going back to the well with Ludvig Aberg. Sue me.
It's only a matter of time before he breaks through for a major victory. We've seen him hold multiple leads on Sunday, only to let them slip away late, but perhaps this is finally the week he gets over the hump at the PGA Championship.
Since the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Aberg has finished T-10 or better in five of his last six tournaments, with the lone exception being a T-21 at the Masters. The consistency continues to be there, and his game sets up extremely well for Aronimink Golf Club.
In my model, Aberg ranks sixth in SG: OTT on par 70s over the past two years and seventh in SG: APP this season, while also grading inside the top 25 in birdie-or-better percentage, SG: TOT on par 70s and SG: PUTT.
At 20/1 or better, I'm willing to keep backing Aberg so I'm not left chasing the number once he finally breaks through.
Tommy Fleetwood: To Win (+3233) | Top 20 (+128)
While course history is not overly important this week given the limited sample size at Aronimink, it is still worth noting that Tommy Fleetwood finished T-8 here in 2018 while posting a +2.87 True SG mark.
Even if that were not the case, I'd still be extremely high on Fleetwood this week.
Additionally, he has been reliable both around the greens and with the putter, but he'll need to take another step forward in those areas to truly separate himself from the field, which he is more than capable of doing.
Finding Fleetwood at these prices feels like a steal, so I'm willing to run with it and hope for the best.
Patrick Cantlay: To Win (56/1) | Top 30 (+102)
Patrick Cantlay is always a tempting bet, and more often than not I find myself wanting to back him in hopes that it will finally be the week he returns to the winner's circle. Lately, though, I've almost been searching for reasons to stay away because it feels like he's done nothing but cost me money.
The problem with that approach this week is that he's simply too difficult to ignore. Cantlay ranks third in my model and grades inside the top 10 in SG: TOT on par 70s, SG: APP in difficult to very difficult conditions to gain strokes on approach shots, bogey avoidance, SG: Par 5 scoring and SG: TOT at comp courses.
His profile sets up extremely well for this week, and so does his recent form. Over his last four starts, Cantlay has finished T-7 at the Valspar Championship, T-12 at the Masters, T-8 at the RBC Heritage and T-10 last week at the Truist Championship.
The price is right, and it appears everything else surrounding Cantlay could be as well this week.
Rickie Fowler: To Win (69/1) | Top 40 (-120)
After missing consecutive cuts in Texas, Fowler has bounced back with a T-8 at the RBC Heritage, T-9 at the Cadillac Championship and a runner-up finish last week at the Truist Championship.
We're getting a hot hand at a price of 69/1, while the top-40 price of -120 also feels more than reasonable. I'll gladly take action on both.
Fowler ranks 15th in my model this week, grading inside the top 20 in bogey avoidance, SG: Par 4 scoring and proximity from both 100-150 and 150-200 yards, while also sitting 21st in SG: PUTT. He has been solid in just about every category outside of some inconsistency around the greens, but overall, his profile fits Aronimink very well, which is backed up by his T-13 finish in 2011 and T-8 finish in 2018.
Harry Hall: To Win (184/1) | Top 40 (+130)
I have a pair of long shots for the PGA Championship, and one of them is 28-year-old Harry Hall.
It's been a volatile, yet fascinating season for the Englishman, who has recorded three top-10 finishes, including a T-8 at the Truist Championship this past weekend, while also missing four cuts.
We never really know which version of Hall we're going to get, but if the good one shows up, he absolutely has the upside to contend this week and, at the very least, cash a plus-money top-40 ticket.
Hall stands out because he ranks 17th in my model, sitting second in both SG: PUTT and three-putt avoidance. He also ranks fifth in birdie-or-better percentage, ninth in SG: TOT on par 70s over the past couple of years and 10th in bogey avoidance. Don't be surprised if Hall makes some noise this weekend.
Alex Smalley: To Win (184/1) | Top 40 (+130)
The other dark-horse candidate is Alex Smalley, who made our card last week at the Truist Championship. While he did not win, he still cashed our top-30 wager (-112) after finishing T-17.
Smalley first caught my attention when we backed him at the Zurich Classic, where he finished T-2 alongside Hayden Springer, and ever since then he has firmly remained on my radar. If he is not already on yours, he absolutely should be heading into this week.
Over his past five tournaments, Smalley has finished T-21 at the Houston Open, T-14 at the Valero Texas Open, T-2 at the Zurich Classic, T-7 at the Cadillac Championship and T-17 last week at Quail Hollow.
Smalley ranks 23rd in my model this week and grades out well in just about every category outside of putting. If the flat stick does not cooperate, this could turn into a difficult week for him, but even with those concerns, he still feels like he is in a strong position to at least slip into a top-40 finish.
You thought you were going to make it through this entire article without me mentioning Corey Conners, didn't you?
Well, in the least surprising development possible, I'm backing the Canadian once again this week. Shocker.
However, there is a bit of a twist this time around. Instead of betting his outright number and a top-finishing position, I'm simply banking on Conners to make the cut at the PGA Championship.
The price of -161 may look a little steep at first glance, but compared to where his make-the-cut numbers are usually priced, this is a bargain.
Conners has missed just one cut all season, and that came back at the Phoenix Open, in only his second tournament of the year. Since then, he has made nine straight cuts.
And no, that is not the only reason I'm making this wager. Per usual, his profile sets up extremely well this week.
Conners ranks ninth in my model, grading 11th or better in proximity from 100-150 yards, SG: TOT at comp courses over the past five years, good drive percentage and SG: APP in difficult approach conditions over the past couple of seasons.
Outside of his mediocre putting, he really does not have many glaring weaknesses, and he is more than capable of playing his way into the weekend.
PGA Championship Picks:
- Ludvig Aberg: To Win (20/1) | Top 20 (-108)
- Tommy Fleetwood: To Win (+3233) | Top 20 (+128)
- Patrick Cantlay: To Win (56/1) | Top 30 (+102)
- Rickie Fowler: To Win (69/1) | Top 40 (-120)
- Harry Hall: To Win (184/1) | Top 40 (+130)
- Alex Smalley: To Win (184/1) | Top 40 (+130)
- Viktor Hovland Top 40 (-116)
- Corey Conners to Make the Cut (-161)
Check Out Our Other PGA Championship Content
While you are here, check out the other PGA Championship content we have.
Which stars will share the course on Thursday and Friday, and when will they tee it up? See the tee times and pairings for the first two rounds.
Also, our PGA Championship betting guide is where you can keep up with the latest tournament odds, get some valuable tips and tricks about how to approach betting this week, and find out which top online sportsbooks are best for PGA Championship betting.
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Danny Burke is a betting analyst with a decade of sports media experience. He got his start at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, sharing picks on the local ESPN affiliate. After college, he hosted shows for VSiN in Las Vegas before returning to Chicago to launch 'Rush Hour', the first daily sports betting show from an Illinois casino. He also co-hosted 'Props and Locks' on Fox32’s Bears pregame show and ran 'Bet On, Chicago' on WLS-AM 890.
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