<p>The Minnesota Lynx are running away with the best record in the WNBA, but behind them, several teams are locked in a fight for a top-three seed. Today’s five-game slate features a matchup between two of those teams the Phoenix Mercury looking to get a pivotal win at home vs. the Atlanta Dream (6:00 p.m. ET, NBA TV).</p>
<p>Entering today’s contest, both teams are 19-11 and tied for the third best record in the league, just one game behind the New York Liberty (20-10) for the second seed. Depending on the outcome of this afternoon’s Lynx vs. Liberty matchup, the winner of the game in Phoenix could end today in a tie with New York. How will things play out at PHX Arena? Read on for our Dream vs. Mercury prediction and picks, and as well as the top odds from our <a href="/best-online-sportsbooks/">recommended online sportsbooks</a>.</p>
<h2>Dream vs. Mercury Betting Trends</h2>
<ul>
<li>The Mercury are 17-13 ATS this season and have covered in each of their last three games.</li>
<li>Phoenix is 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS at home this season, including 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS as a home favorite.</li>
<li>The Mercury are 4-2 SU and 3-3 when favored by five or fewer points this season, including 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS at home.</li>
<li>The Dream are also 17-13 ATS this season, and they have also covered in each of their last three games.</li>
<li>Atlanta is 5-6 SU and 6-5 ATS as an underdog this season, including 5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Dream vs. Mercury Prediction and Picks</h2>
<p>Twice in recent weeks, the Mercury have been unable to find an answer for Allisha Gray, who led the way in two Atlanta wins over Phoenix.</p>
<p>On July 23, Gray had 28 points (10 of 16 FG, 3 of 5 3PT), seven rebounds, and six assists in a 90-79 win in Phoenix. Then in the most recent Dream vs. Mercury matchup nine days ago, she was on fire from outside, making 7 of 9 from three and scoring 26 points in a 95-72 win at Atlanta.</p>
<p>Gray is off to a great start in August, averaging 24.3 PPG in three games. In this stretch, she is shooting 61.5% (24 of 39) from the field and 75% (12 of 18) from three.</p>
<h3>Last Three Games for Allisha Gray</h3>
<ul>
<li style="text-align: left;">at Chicago: 25 points (9 of 15 FG, 3 of 5 3PT, 4 of 4 FT),</li>
<li>vs. Washington: 22 points (7 of 11 FG, 2 of 4 3PT, 6 of 7 FT)</li>
<li>vs. Phoenix: 26 points (8 of 12 FG, 7 of 9 3PT, 3 of 3 FT)</li>
</ul>
<p>This has been a career season for Gray, and she may add another highlight to it. To date, she has never scored 20+ points in four consecutive WNBA games. In fact, this is the first time she has done it in three straight. But with how well she is shooting it right now and how she performed in the first two Dream vs. Mercury contests, today looks like the day for that to happen.</p>
<p>For the home team, look for another outstanding effort from Alyssa Thomas. After becoming the first player in WNBA history to record three consecutive triple-doubles in Thursday’s 35-point rout of the Fever, Thomas is aiming to become the first with four straight today.</p>
<h3>Last Three Games for Alyssa Thomas</h3>
<ul>
<li>vs. Indiana: 18 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists, three steals</li>
<li>vs. Connecticut: 13 points, 12 rebounds, 12 assists, three steals</li>
<li>at Chicago: 10 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists, two steals</li>
</ul>
<p>With how Atlanta has had Phoenix&#8217;s number this season, they are a solid selection to cover and win outright today. That said, Dream vs. Mercury props are more interesting than sides or totals, especially with some milestones in play. So, if you are looking to make only a couple of plays, the props are where to turn your focus.</p>
<p><strong>Dream vs. Mercury Prediction:</strong> Dream to win</p>
<p><strong>Dream vs. Mercury Picks:</strong> 1) Allisha Gray over 16.5 points (-135 at <a href="https://affiliates.bettingnews.com/register/bovada/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bovada</a>) 2) Alyssa Thomas over 9.5 rebounds (+105 at Bovada) 3) Alyssa Thomas to record a triple-double (+425 at Bovada)</p>
<h2>Other WNBA Betting Content</h2>
<p>Betting News extensively covers the WNBA, providing expert picks for many of the league’s top matchups, analysis of key storylines from a betting perspective, and more.</p>
<p>Are you new to betting on the WNBA? Check out our updated <a href="/sports-betting-guides/wnba-betting-guide/">WNBA betting guide</a>.  It covers a lot of basic information about the league, how to bet on it, and betting tools and resources that can enhance your chances of a successful season betting on the WNBA.</p>
<p>Several of our <a href="/sports-betting-guides/">sports betting guides</a> are also handy resources for WNBA bettors. This includes our guide to <a href="/sports-betting-guides/futures-bets/">futures bets</a>, our breakdowns of <a href="/sports-betting-guides/line-movement/">line movement</a> and <a href="/sports-betting-guides/line-shopping/">line shopping</a>, and our <a href="/sports-betting-guides/moneyline-vs-spread-betting/">comparison of moneyline and spread betting</a>.</p>
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