Win or Go Home — Expert Picks in the WNBA Today (10/9)
Written by: Varun Sharma
Published: Fri Oct 09, 2026, 3:16 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
wnba
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+5.0
-110
157
-110u
+175
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-4.5
-110
156
-108o
-190
Tonight could be the last night of the Semi-Finals in the WNBA Playoffs. Both the Golden State Valkyries and Atlanta Dream sit one win shy of a trip to the WNBA Finals; all they need tonight is a win on the road.
On the flip side, we've got two veteran teams, going back home with their backs against the wall. The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces both have won multiple championships, both rosters are filled with champions and both teams have a ton of experience.
Will experience get the job done tonight, or is it time for a changing of the guard?
Let's jump right into it.
For more information on betting the WNBA, check our full WNBA Betting Guide.
Today's Best Bets
A'ja Wilson o27.5 Points (-111) | Lucky Rebel
One of my favorite thing about the postseason, in any sport, is the elimination games. The games where it's win or go home. The type of games where there is no tomorrow and NEED a win tonight.
That's the situation the A'ja Wilson and the Aces find themselves in tonight and on their own home floor. Wilson's been held to 24 points in back to back games now and while a lot of that is because of this stout Valkyries defense; I just trust in A'ja to show up.
Wilson's averaging 28.8 points per game in the postseason so far, she's shooting 57% from the field and getting to the line for 10.4 free throw attempts per game. She's still the best player in the WNBA, coming off her 5th career MVP Award and 3rd straight.
With their season on the line, you trust in A'ja and you let her do what she does best. She's 8-4 in elimination games, she's scored 35+ in her last 3 elimination games and tonight in front of the home crowd; I'm expecting a little extra boost of energy for the MVP.
Breanna Stewart o32.5 P/R (-110) | Lucky Rebel
Breanna Stewart is playing out of her mind currently and if the Liberty manage to extend this series, it'll be because of her. Stewart's played 40+ minutes in 3 straight games now, only the most recent went to overtime.
Stewie scored 35 points in the overtime loss, grabbed 11 rebounds and even dished out 6 assists. She's playing nearly every minute of the game and doing absolutely all she can to help her team win.
So far in the postseason, Stewie's averaging 27.3 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. She's shooting 50% from the field and averaging 40.3 minutes per game. This could be the last game of the Liberty's season and it's on their home court.
Stewart's played in 6 elimination games in her career, averaging 38.9 minutes, 23.8 points and 10.7 rebounds per game. She's taking an average of 18 shot attempts per game in these games and that's right in line with the 17 shot attempts per game she's averaged so far in the playoffs.
The Dream don't present the best defensive matchup, but this is a pure volume play from me. She's playing an insane amount of minutes, their season's on the line and she's arguably the best player on the court.
Big Stewie night in store. Lock in.
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