MLS Picks and Predictions for May 16, 2026

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Published: Fri May 15, 2026, 6:38 pm ET

Read Time: 5 minutes

Alex Roldan has appeared in all 11 matches for the Sounders - MLS Picks

MLS

We took home a little over a unit after going 2-1 on Wednesday, and almost right away, another full Saturday of Major League Soccer action is upon us. There are 13 matches on the slate with the bulk of it starting at 7:30 p.m. eastern. Let's continue our winning ways in the MLS and get into this Saturday's picks.

  • MLS YTD
  • 16-13 (53.9%)
  • +3.73u
  • Average Odds: +117

Head over to our MLS Picks Page for our expert's soccer analysis, or read my best bets below.

Major League Soccer: Saturday's Predictions May 16

Seattle Sounders vs. LA Galaxy MLS Picks

Cristian Roldan has three goals and two assists for Seattle's midfield this year - MLS Picks

Cristian Roldan has three goals and two assists for Seattle's midfield this year

Best Bet: Seattle Sounders ML/Under 4.5 (+120) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

Get used to betting this throughout the MLS season, because this won't be the only time. Seattle is outstanding at home, and has one of the best back lines in the entire league. They are the MLS equivalent to Arsenal. Rock solid everywhere, but especially defensively at home. Through 11 MLS matches so far, they have allowed just eight total goals as they jump out to a 7-3-1 record, sitting in third in the Western Conference. While the LA Galaxy's offense has netted more goals this year (19-17), they have a negative goal differential, allowing 21 total goals in 13 matches which is over 1.60 per contest.

The Sounders are unbeaten in all competitions at home this year, posting a 6-0-1 record, only drawing with San Diego FC two games ago. While LA should be able to find the back of the net at least once, I have more than enough faith in the Sounders offense to be able to net multiple goals. They have veteran experience and a core that has been playing together for a while. Not to mention the Galaxy have not won at Lumen Field since 2016. That won't change this weekend, as the Galaxy come off a terrible loss to Sporting KC on the road.

Prediction: Seattle Sounders Win 2-1 (+700)

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San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas MLS Picks

Preston Judd has been on a tear for the Earthquakes, scoring nine goals and adding two assists - MLS Picks

Preston Judd has been on a tear for the Earthquakes, scoring nine goals and adding two assists

Best Bet: San Jose Earthquakes ML (-120) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

I can't get enough of this Earthquakes team. We always knew they could score, as they netted 60 goals last season while finishing 10th in the conference. But now they seem unbeatable on the back end as well. As of this moment, they are tied with the Vancouver Whitecaps for the top of the Western Conference, however they are down on goal differential and the Whitecaps have a match in hand as well. Regardless, the Earthquakes have allowed less than a goal per match this year (0.85 to be exact), while netting over two of their own.

Their only home loss came against the Seattle Sounders, losing 1-0 in March. But overall San Jose is 6-1-1 at PayPal Park, recording four shutouts in the process. They have six total shutouts in the league, while ranking third in goals scored. Coming off losing to Vancouver in their own stadium, FC Dallas also dropped a match to Seattle on the road earlier this year. Now playing the last of the top three teams in the league, they'll be hungry for points. But unfortunately, they simply won't be able to compete if San Jose plays as well as they have all season long. This is a team that has the capabilities to bring the MLS Cup back to San Jose for the first time since 2003.

Prediction: San Jose Earthquakes Win 2-0 (+1000)

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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