English Premier League Picks and Predictions: Wednesday EPL

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Published: Wed Mar 04, 2026, 10:31 am ET

Read Time: 5 minutes

Arsenal has had the best back line in all of soccer for quite some time now - Atlético Madrid Arsenal Picks

EPL

We went 3-0-1 on straight bets in the English Premier League yesterday, and we hit a +900 correct score to top things off. Let's hope we can roll that success over into Wednesday's action, as we have five EPL matches on the slate. Let's get right into our soccer analyst's favorite picks and see what we're betting on.

Head over to our EPL Picks Page for our expert's soccer analysis, or read my best bets below.

English Premier League: Wednesday's Predictions March 4

Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Arsenal EPL Picks

Back Arsenal to win this match in a low scoring affair, something they've done 58% of the time this season - EPL Picks

Back Arsenal to win this match in a low scoring affair, something they've done 58% of the time this season

Best Bet: Arsenal ML/Under 4.5 (-104) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

Like clockwork, here we go betting the Gunners to win with an inflated under. This specific wager has hit in 26 of Arsenal's 45 competitive matches so far this season, and typically we are given plus money. We are paying a couple cents of juice today, but for a bet hitting over 57.8% of the time, I'll take it.

In both meetings this competition season, we would've cashed this bet. Arsenal beat Brighton & Hove Albion at home in the Carabao Cup back in October by a score of 2-0. Then in late December at Emirates Stadium, the Gunners won again, this time in a 2-1 final. Arsenal only conceded eight total shots, three on target, and two corner kicks on 47% of possession. Even on the road against the Seagulls, I don't see much offense being created by the hosts. The visitors have an easy FA Cup matchup this weekend, and have a full week before their UCL Round of 16 contest. I believe their full focus will be making sure they earn three easy points on the road today.

Prediction: Arsenal Wins 2-0 (+675)

Manchester City vs. Nottingham Forest EPL Picks

Rayan Cherki scored the winner for Manchester City last time they faced Forest - EPL Picks

Rayan Cherki scored the winner for Manchester City last time they faced Forest

Best Bet: Manchester City ML/Under 3.5 (+140)  Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

This bet would've cashed in four of the last five head to head meetings between these clubs. Back in December in Nottingham, Manchester City took down their hosts, winning 2-1 on an 83′ minute goal from Rayan Cherki. Even in their last match at the Etihad, City shutout Nottingham Forest, but only scored three goals, staying under this total.

Why should I expect anything to change?

The hosts are still battling to try and catch Arsenal, and they are currently five points behind but do have a match in hand. They have won four straight matches overall, and this parlay would've cashed in all four of those contests. Now, Forest won't go down without a fight. This team is just two points away from being in a relegation spot, and I trust them to fight until the very end. Plus, while Manchester City has an entire week before taking on Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League, they have a much harder FA Cup contest this weekend.

City has to go up North to Newcastle to face the Magpies this weekend prior to traveling to Spain for their UCL battle. In my mind, that's more reason to perhaps rest some of your starters today against Forest at home, leading me to believe the attacking power won't be as strong as it normally is. However, City's reserves are still more than capable of taking down Forest at home.

Prediction: Manchester City Wins 2-0 (+650)

Fulham vs. West Ham United EPL Picks

Best Bet: Fulham ML (+107)  Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

Fulham are at home taking on West Ham United, a team destined for relegation. In theory, that could be the end of my handicap. They beat this team 1-0 on the road in December, but drew 1-1 the last time they played at Craven Cottage, which was in September of 2024. While one could argue the extra motivation lies with West Ham given their current status on the league table, I do not trust their defense on the road in this one. They've conceded five to Liverpool and three to Chelsea on the road, and Fulham's offense is more than capable of finding the back of the net against the second worst back line in the EPL.

Prediction: Fulham Wins 2-1 (+750)

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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