English Premier League Picks and Predictions: Tuesday EPL

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Published: Mon Mar 02, 2026, 9:05 pm ET

Read Time: 5 minutes

Joe Rodon and Leeds United host Burnley today in the EPL - Leeds United Burnley Picks

EPL

Another weekend of FA Cup action means we have some midweek English Premier League to sort out! There are four matches on tomorrow's slate, and I found plenty of action in a couple contests. Find my favorite EPL picks for Tuesday's action below, and keep in mind, we do have a couple of correct score hits recently. Keep reading to see why I like a 20-1 winner in the last match on the board.

Head over to our EPL Picks Page for our expert's soccer analysis, or read my best bets below.

English Premier League: Tuesday's Predictions March 3

Leeds United vs. Sunderland EPL Picks

Back Sunderland's back line to remain strong on the road against Leeds - EPL Picks

Back Sunderland's back line to remain strong on the road against Leeds

Best Bet: Leeds United/Sunderland Under 2.25 (-102) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

We've got a couple of wagers (technically three) in this match at Elland Road on Tuesday. Our one unit is split into two half unit bets. We have one wager on the under 2 and one on the under 2.5, both priced at (-102). There's a good chance we push and win. However, I also have a unit on Sunderland +0.5 at (-110) as well. Here's how I see it playing out.

Both of these teams are phenomenal defensively. We saw a 1-1 draw back in December at the Stadium of Light on just nine total shots on frame. Sunderland have allowed just 1.21 per match to opponents in 28 contests this EPL season, while Leeds have conceded 47 this EPL season but just 12 in their last eight matches (four of which were to Arsenal). Sunderland doesn't win very many matches because of their offense, and they should play conservative on the road. In fact, they are the third lowest scoring team in the EPL.

But Leeds is just as abysmal offensively, and against top defenses they fail to score, having been shutout by Manchester City and Arsenal at home. While the Sunderland defense has fallen off a bit, I expect them to regroup and stay strong at Leeds.

Prediction: Sunderland Wins 1-0 (+900)

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Liverpool EPL Picks

Virgil Van Dijk and Liverpool might be sleeping against the Wanderers on the road - EPL Picks

Virgil Van Dijk and Liverpool might be sleeping against the Wanderers on the road

Best Bet: Wolverhampton/Liverpool Over 3 (-105)  Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

We are playing the asian handicap here with some push potential. Now, I also like Liverpool ML/Over 2.5 for +108 if you'd rather bet that, but this Wolves team is dangerous. Not because of their talent, but because they have nothing left to lose. This team needs nothing short of a miracle to avoid relegation at the end of the season. They have just two wins and 20 losses this EPL season, but again, there is nothing holding them back. Clearly they are not going to be a team that rolls over and dies. They are going to battle until the very end, and try to play spoiler along the way.

We saw them come back from down 2-0 to Arsenal at home, scoring the equalizer in stoppage time to steal a couple of points away from the Gunners. They are also coming off a 2-0 shutout win over Aston Villa at home as well. Sure, they dropped one to Crystal Palace recently. But that was on the road, and they conceded in the 90′ minute after playing the final 30 down a man. I've got to give them credit. I expect them to fight and find the back of the net.

But Liverpool is still Liverpool. They are in desperate need for some points towards the end of this season, so expect an aggressive attack. However, their defense has been horrible all year long, and I'm sure they will get caught overlooking this Wolves team. After three straight shutouts, they conceded two goals to West Ham at home, albeit en route to a 5-2 victory. And they rank ninth on the table in goals allowed. Get ready for some fireworks, as I expect a high scoring affair.

Prediction: Liverpool Wins 3-2 (+2000)

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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