Vikings vs Broncos, Prediction: Death, Taxes, & PrimeTime Unders
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Sun Nov 19, 2023, 2:54 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
nfl
Sunday Night Football is here once again as the Minnesota Vikings head to the Rockies to face the Denver Broncos at Mile High Stadium.
Since taking over for the Vikings, Josh Dobbs has looked very comfortable, and the Vikings are just 1.5 games behind the Lions for 1st place in the NFC North.
The Broncos are 4-5 but they've won three straight. Plus, the AFC playoff race is wide open with lots of Wild Card spots available for the taking.
Will Dobbs get a win tonight on Primetime? Or will the Broncos keep the heater going?
Let's break this game down and find our best bets!
Vikings vs Broncos Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Empower Field at Mile High
- Date: Sunday, November, 19th, 2023
- Kick Off: 8:20pm Eastern
- Broadcast: NBC
Betting Odds
Spread
- Vikings +2.5 (-105)
- Broncos -2.5 (-115)
Moneyline
- Vikings +125
- Broncos -145
Total
- Over 42.5 (-110)
- Under 42.5 (-110)
Free NFL Picks: Vikings vs Broncos
Although Dobbs has looked good, Justin Jefferson is inactive once again for the Vikings.
Russell Wilson and Sean Payton have certainly been cooking the past few weeks, winning three straight and scoring 22.8 PPG. They're scoring increases at home but so does Minnesota's.
Thanks to allowing 70 points against the Dolphins, Denver's Defense allows the most points, giving up nearly 28 per game. However, that number is just 16 in the last three games, and 21.8 at home.
Minnesota allows just around three touchdowns, dropping to 19.6 on the road.
If there's three things that are certain in life, it's Death, Taxes, and Primetime Unders.
The Picks: Vikings/Broncos Under 42.5 (-106) BetOnline
*Disclaimer*
Nothing in sports betting is guaranteed, this very well may lose, it is just a metaphor. (Can't believe I have to say that)
Moving on, let's talk some props!
Free NFL Player Props: Vikings vs Broncos
T.J. Hockenson over 6.5 Receptions (+110) Bovada
I'll talk quickly about this guy's numbers, then show you how bad the Broncos are at defending Tight Ends.
His line is 5.5 but juicy, so I took the 7+ for plus money.
Hock has cleared 7+ catches in 6/10 games this season, posting 6 catches twice as well. He's seen at least 8 targets in all games but one, and in his last four games, he's seen 48 targets with 35 receptions.
Without Jefferson, Hockenson has cleared 7 catches in 3/5 games, posting 6+ in the other two contests. He had 11 receptions on 15 targets for 134 yards last week.
Now the Broncos D. Here are how TE's have down against them throughout the season.
- Kincaid: 5-51 yards, TD
- Kelce: 6-58 and 9-124
- Musgrove: 4-30
- Conklin: 4-67
- Kmet: 7-85, 2 TDs
- Bates: 3-46
- Hooper: 1-20
Tight Ends have career days against the Broncos. Just ask Cole Kmet.
Seven catches is more than doable for a guy who should get at least 10 targets.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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