Top Consensus Picks for NFL Week 4’s Sunday Afternoon Games

Eddie Griffin

Another busy NFL Sunday is here, with 14 games on the Sunday schedule for Week 4. One of those games kicks off while many are still shaking off the cobwebs, as the Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints are facing off in the first of this season’s London games.

Many people will have already gotten their bets in for today’s action, but there are plenty of procrastinators out there.

For those late bettors out there, we take a look at the best bets for all of today’s afternoon games, according to our sourced consensus picks.

Best Expert Picks for NFL Week 4’s Sunday Afternoon Games

Top Spread Picks

New England Patriots to cover at Green Bay Packers – 100%

Patriots QB Mac Jones is sidelined today with an ankle sprain, so Brian Hoyer will be making his first start since 2020 as New England visits Lambeau Field. Despite this setback and the Patriots not looking great at all against their two best opponents, the picks are all in favor of the Pats covering against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers.

Among our recommended legal sports betting sites, the best place to grab Pats +9.5 is FanDuel, where it is available for slightly better odds than it is elsewhere.

Top Over/Under Picks

Washington Commanders/Dallas Cowboys under – 100%

All of the Cowboys’ first three games of the NFL season have finished under 40 points–22 vs. the Bucs, 37 vs. the Bengals, and 39 vs. the Giants–so it is not really surprising to see the picks favor a fourth straight low-scoring game for Dallas.

That may change starting next week, with Dak Prescott reportedly on track to return to action next Sunday’s game against the Rams. But today, it looks like the under is the play.

Interested in going that direction? The best value for under 41.5 can be found at Caesars Sportsbook and BetMGM.

Seattle Seahawks/Detroit Lions under – 100%

The Lions have played in three straight high-scoring games to open the NFL season–73 vs. the Eagles, 63 vs. the Commanders, and 52 vs. the Vikings–but the forecast calls for that to come to an end this afternoon against Seattle.

Given that the Seahawks have given up 27 points in back-to-back weeks and the Lions aren’t exactly thriving on defense, that is a bit of a surprise.

But if you want to back the under, the best spot for the under 47.5 is FanDuel.

Los Angeles Chargers/Houston Texans over 44.5 – 83%

Will the Chargers bounce back today after getting pounded 38-10 by the Jaguars in Jacksonville last Sunday? While the picks favor the Texans to cover, most expect the Chargers to win in a game that will go over.

The Chargers’ last two games have gone over 44.5, while the Texans have yet to have a game go over that number. That appears to be set to come to an end this afternoon at NRG Stadium.

If you are in agreement with our NFL consensus picks, you can either back the over 45, which it is at most of our recommended books, or you can avoid buying any points and get the under 44.5 at FanDuel.

Arizona Cardinals/Carolina Panthers over 43.5 – 83%

Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray, who went back-to-back as Oklahoma starting QBs and Heisman Trophy winners, will face each other in this battle between 1-2 teams.

There likely won’t be as many fireworks as there were in yesterday’s Oklahoma’s ugly loss at TCU, but the two former Sooners are expected to provide some entertainment this afternoon in Charlotte.

If you think that will be the case, BetRivers is the place to make that play. Or wherever you want, really, but you can find the best value there.

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Eddie Griffin
Eddie Griffin

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and Betting on sports for over a decade. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on Twitter.

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and Betting on sports for over a decade. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on Twitter.