Football’s Back in Brazil: Ravens vs. Cowboys — NFL Expert Picks & Predictions (9/27)
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Sat Sep 26, 2026, 5:24 pm ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
nfl
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-3.0
-120
53
-105u
-180
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+3.5
-115
53.0
-105o
+161
The NFL's International Series continues this week with the Dallas Cowboys 'hosting' the Baltimore Ravens down in beautiful Rio De Janeiro, Brazil. Two high powered offenses making the trip overseas with a very high total.
This one's looking like it could be a lot of fun, so let's jump right into this matchup.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today's slate, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.
Game Information
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Matchup Information
- Location: Estádio Jornalista Mário Filho; Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
- Date: Sunday, September 27th, 2026
- Kickoff: 4:25 PM EST
Quarterback Matchup
- Baltimore Ravens: Lamar Jackson (2025: 6-7; 196.1 YPG | 21 TD | 7 INT)
- Dallas Cowboys: Dak Prescott (2025: 7-9-1; 267.8 YPG | 30 TD | 10 INT)
Betting Odds
Odds via Lucky Rebel, an industry leader in the sports betting world.
Analysis & Breakdown
Ghost of Game's Past
Through two weeks of the 2026 NFL Season, we've seen two completely different Ravens' teams. In Week 1 we saw Baltimore score 41 points, record 506 yards of total offense, average 7.9 yards per play and possess the ball for 59% of the game.
Lamar threw for 324 yards, 1 passing touchdown, 1 touchdown on the ground and 1 lost fumble. He was good but it was the Ravens' run game that ran wild.
Derrick Henry carried the ball 24 times in Week 1. He averaged 6.0 YPC and finished with 163 total yards and 3 touchdowns. The Ravens finished with 4 touchdowns on the ground and 202 total rush yards. That all flipped in Week 2.
The Ravens scored just 17 points in their home opener, finished with 312 yards of offense and lost as a near touchdown favorite to the New Orleans Saints. Henry ran the ball 16 times for 68 yards and 1 touchdown.
What was confusing was the fact the Ravens went into the second half up 14-6 and Henry would run the ball just 5 times after the break. The offense completely shifted and it resulted in just 3 points in the second half .
The Ravens defense has been good. They've held both the Saints and Colts to under 300 yards of total offense and have a top 10 graded coverage group through two weeks.
That coverage unit's going to need all hands on deck this week with two of the game's best receivers on the opposite side.
Road Puppies
The Dallas Cowboys got their first win of the year last week and it's no surprise that it came inside Jerry's World. The Cowboys are a completely different team when playing on their home field and that's been a problem.
Dak Prescott is 10-15 in his last 25 road games, but he's 17-7-1 in his last 25 home games. Prescott averaged just under 300 pass yards per game in those 25 home games, he's thrown 56 touchdowns and just 19 interceptions.
Comparing that to the 25 road games; 228 pass yards per game, 40 touchdowns and 19 interceptions. Dak loves the comfort of an indoor stadium and this week in Brazil, that's just not the case.
Defensively, the Cowboys have a lot of questions to answer. They've got the 8th worst coverage grade (via PFF) and if not for a matchup with the Commanders; it could be a lot worse.
CeeDee Lamb came alive after a mediocre showing in Week 1. He caught 8 of his 9 targets for 153 yards and 23 touchdowns. Dak threw 4 touchdown passes in that last game, 2 to CeeDee and 2 to his favorite TE; Jake Ferguson.
Ferguson had 4 catches, but 2 of them ended up in the endzone. The offense was on fire last week and despite this being an overseas game, I think they stay hot.
Sunday's Best Bets
Rashod Bateman o44.5 Receiving Yards (-111) | Lucky Rebel
Last week the Ravens were without both Zay Flowers and Ja'Kobi Lane. That meant Baltimore's new WR1 was Rashod Bateman and he stepped up in a big way.
Bateman caught 7 of his 9 targets for 88 yards and a touchdown. He caught Baltimore's only receiving touchdown and finished as the team leader in targets.
Bateman's played 85% of the snaps this year, he's got a 84% route participate rate and he's seeing an average depth of target of 14.0 yards. With news about Flowers still in the air and Lane out this week, Bateman's in line for another bump in targets.
In Week 1 with both Lane and Flowers healthy, Bateman still had a 86% route participation rate; he just didn't see any targets. With Lane out of this game, Bateman is this team's WR2 and if Flowers sits; sky's the limit.
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