Packers vs. Lions Week 9 Betting: Will Green Bay’s slide finally end?

Eddie Griffin

It’s been a miserable month for the Green Bay Packers, who haven’t won since eking out an overtime win over the New England Patriots in Week 4. Will their slide come to an end in Week 9 against the Detroit Lions?

On Sunday night, Green Bay’s losing streak was extended to four games with a 27-17 loss against the Buffalo Bills. Yet again, the offense didn’t generate enough points, and a rough first half for the defense was too much to overcome in the second half.

The Lions are struggling to win, which is a surprise to no one who follows the NFL closely, but Sunday’s 31-27 loss to the Miami Dolphins was their fourth loss this season by four or fewer points. So, the Packers certainly can’t expect to walk into the Motor City and leave with a W.

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: Green Bay Packers (3-5, 1-3 away, 2nd in the NFC North) vs. Detroit Lions (1-6, 1-3 home, 4th in the NFC North)
  • Venue & Location: Ford Field (Detroit, Michigan)
  • Date: Sunday, November 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 p.m. Eastern Time
  • How to Watch Packers vs. Lions: FOX

Packers vs. Lions Early Odds

Game odds are via FanDuel as of Wednesday, November 2 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern.

Spread

  • Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-110)
  • Detroit Lions +3.5 (-110)

Over/Under

  • Over 49.5 (-110)
  • Under 49.5 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Green Bay Packers -194
  • Detroit Lions +162

Packers vs. Lions Updated Odds

Updated odds are via FanDuel as of Friday, November 4 at 5:45 p.m. Eastern.

Spread

  • Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-114)
  • Detroit Lions +3.5 (-106)

Over/Under

  • Over 49.5 (-110)
  • Under 49.5 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Green Bay Packers -205
  • Detroit Lions +172

Packers vs. Lions Gameday Odds

Odds are via FanDuel as of Sunday, November 6 at 10:30 a.m. Eastern.

Spread

  • Green Bay Packers -4 (-110)
  • Detroit Lions +4 (-110)

Over/Under

  • Over 49.5 (-110)
  • Under 49.5 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Green Bay Packers -196
  • Detroit Lions +166

Encouraging Signs for Packers Despite Another Loss?

From a betting perspective, Sunday night was a profitable one for Packers backers, as Green Bay did at least cover the 10.5-point spread.

Beyond that though, there are actually some things to take positively if you’re invested or planning to invest in Green Bay in Week 9.

While the defense allowed 24 points in four drives to end the first half after stopping the Bills on their first drive of the game, the second half went much better.

The Bills tacked on three more points in their first second-half drive, but Allen was picked off on each of the next two drives and they punted on their final meaningful possession of the game.

Overall, Green Bay outgained Buffalo 398-369 and won the turnover battle, and they also ran for a season-high 208 yards.

After picking up only 105 yards on 30 carries in his previous three games, Aaron Jones ran for a season-high 143 yards on 20 carries against the Bills, who entered the game allowed an average of 76.2 rushing yards per game and 3.5 yards per carry.

The other major downside along with the defense’s struggles in the first half was that Aaron Rodgers had yet another pretty underwhelming performance, going 19 of 30 for 203 yards and averaging under seven yards per attempt for the fourth straight game.

Rodgers has never gone five straight regular season games in a season without averaging at least seven yards per attempt, and he will be going up against a defense that is last in opponent completion percentage (69.3%) and yards allowed per attempt (8.4).

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Prediction and Best Bets

Packers vs. Lions Prediction: Packers to win

Packers vs. Lions Best Bets: Packers to cover (Best Value: -3.5 @ -108 at BetRivers) & Packers/Lions over (Best Value: over 49.5 @ -109 at BetRivers)

In addition to being porous against the pass, the Lions also have one of the league’s worst run defenses. They are 28th in yards allowed per carry (5.1) and 30th in yards allowed per game (154.9), and they are tied for 30th in rushing touchdowns allowed (13).

Also, the Lions are far and away dead last in scoring defense (32.1 PPG) and have allowed at least 27 points in all but one game. So, there really is no excuse for the Packers to not have a big breakout game in Detroit.

I expect that to happen, but I also expect the Lions to score some points against a team that has allowed 23+ points in five straight games. Detroit may have laid a couple of eggs against the Patriots (29-0 loss) and Cowboys (24-6 loss) in Week 5 and Week 7, but they have scored at least 24 points in their other five games.

Sunday’s loss against Buffalo was certainly another discouraging result, but it did provide signs that there may be some light at the end of the tunnel. Look for this to be one of Week 9’s higher-scoring games and look for the Packers to finally break their losing skid.

Packers vs. Lions Prop Picks

  • Aaron Jones over 67.5 yards rushing (-120 at BetMGM) & over 99.5 rushing + receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel): Jones has had a lot of success against the Lions in the last few seasons, and after racking up a season-high 143 yards rushing against the Bills last week, I’m looking for him to have another highly productive game in Detroit.
  • Romeo Doubs over 45.5 receiving yards (-115 at BetRivers): Doubs had four catches for 62 yards and a touchdown against the Bills, and while he has yet to record 50+ yards in back-to-back games, this is the perfect opportunity for that to happen. The rookie should get his fair share of targets, and if he can manage even a respectable YPC, he should get over the line here with just three or four catches.

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Eddie Griffin
Eddie Griffin

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and Betting on sports for over a decade. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on Twitter.

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and Betting on sports for over a decade. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on Twitter.