NFL Divisional Round: Best Bets & Props from our NFL Staff
Written by: Daniel Collins
Last Update: Sat Jan 17, 2026, 9:29 am ET
Read Time: 9 minutes
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Strap in for an amazing weekend of Football.
The NFL Playoffs continue and the Divisional Round should be must see TV.
4 Games await this weekend and there is lots of money to be made as we get one step closer to Super Bowl 60.
Below, our Team here at Betting News is going to give their BEST BETS for the Divisional Round NFL Slate. Whether it is a Spread, Moneyline, Total or Player Prop, this is your go to article every week for our team's favorite bets!
Here is the Squad's Record in the NFL Season:
(135-93 of All Picks -120 or better odds)
Daniel Collins (SPJ): 14-5
Chef T: 10-9
Nate Hornung (Shaggy): 10-9
Colby Marchio: 9-10
John Hyslop (Slop): 8-11
Varun Sharma (Sauce): 14-5
Brad Blakemore (Betzky): 13-6
Danny Burke: 11-8
Kate Constable: 8-11
Adam Kaufman: 14-5
Tristan Vieira (Trizzy): 13-6
Sukh Brar: 9-10
Now let's dive in to the Betting News Experts' Best Bets for NFL Divisional Round Weekend!
All Odds available at Lucky Rebel, the industry leader in the Sports betting Market.
Daniel Collins' (SPJ) (14-5) Divisional Round Best Bet
Puka Nacua should feast against the Bears secondary
Puka Nacua o7.5 Receptions (-110)
I know it is going to be one of the coldest playoff games in Chicago history. Yea…I don't care.
In Puka I trust.
Nacua, the possible offensive player of the year, should no doubt have a massive impact for the Rams on the road. He was targeted a whopping 18 times in the Wild Card Round in Carolina, hauling in 10 of those targets.
The Rams do a great job of utilizing and featuring Puka in so many different ways and I expect the talented wideout to get 12+ targets once again and be a missive feature for Los Angeles in their gameplay to beat the Cardiac Bears on the road.
If the Rams want to win this game on the road and book their ticket to the NFC Championship Game, Puka is going to have to get his. And I expect he will.
Chef T's (9-10) Divisional Round Best Bet
Zach Charbonnet o60.5 Rushing and Receiving yards (-115)
This is a solid play because he has multiple paths to get there through carries and easy receiving work. He already cleared this matchup earlier in the year with 74 total yards, and his usage makes it repeatable. A normal workload gets him close on the ground, and a few catches are enough to push him over.
Nate Hornung's (10-9) & Colby Marchio's (9-10) Divisional Round Best Bet
The Texans defense could reek havoc on the road
Texans/Patriots Under 41 (-110)
NATE: The number keeps ticking down and for good reason. The winner of this game won't need to score 20 points. CJ Stroud looked very flustered in the pocket against the Steelers, and I have little faith in the Texans offense to put up points on the road. The only reason Houston's previous under was sweaty was because of multiple defensive touchdowns.
I'll bet on that not happening again. As for the Patriots, Drake Maye mustered just 16 points against the Chargers, and I think we can all agree the Texans defense is much better than LA's. Give me the under in a very low scoring contest that might not even see a single touchdown.
COLBY: In my mind, this game will easily be one of the least thrilling in terms of points scored. We already saw what C.J. Stroud looks like in the cold, as his defense carried the load to get Houston a win in Pittsburgh last week. I expect them to do the same against a Patriots team that has played only two playoff teams this season. Drake Maye and the New England offense should struggle against arguably the best defense in the National Football League.
Cue up Men at Work, because I'm living in the land down under!
John Hyslop's (8-11) Divisional Round Best Bet
Kyle Monangai 2+ Receptions (+143)
This could easily be the greatest bet we ever make. Maybe better. The books are pricing this guy like he's some BS guy, but Kyle is far from a BS guy. The Rams give it up to the RB position in the pass game. Only six teams allowed more receptions to the position this season. They're perfect for Kyle since the Bears have targeted him at least three times in three of the last four games. Translation: he's catching at least two balls on Sunday.
Varun Sharma's (14-5) Divisional Round Best Bet
Ty Johnson o1.5 Receptions (-120)
With all the injuries in this Bills secondary, it's hard to ignore how important Ty Johnson becomes to this offense. He's cleared this line in 9 of his L10 games, but he's averaging just 2.6 targets per game in that time frame. The Broncos rank 1st in receptions allowed to opposing RBs and they've done a great job in coverage across the board.
Regardless, this pass rush is formidable and the Bills will need to get creative with their lack of pass catchers. Johnson's proven big at very opportune times this year and it's why I'm expecting him to have a significant impact here in the Divisional Round.
It's going to be a sweat, but that's exactly why I love it.
Brad Blakemore's (13-6) Divisional Round Best Bet
Brock Purdy looks to lead the 49ers to the NFC Championship game
San Fransisco 49ers +7 (-105)
It's a Brock Purdy world and we are just living in it. Purdy has been one of the most impressive QB's in this last stretch of games and had a master class against the Eagles. While the offensive weapons are becoming more scarce, this hasn't seemed to effect him as the 49'ers continually keep a next man up mentality. I also struggle to trust Darnold in big games. The 49er's should be able to keep this game closer than expected.
Danny Burke's (11-8) Divisional Round Best Bet
Zach Charbonnet Over 11.5 Rush Attempts (-105)
Since Week 15, Charbonnet has taken control of the snap count in the backfield over Kenneth Walker. In his last two games, including against San Francisco, he's logged 17 and 18 carries. The 49ers run defense is awful, and the Seahawks will look to expose that numerous times with their more efficient back in Charbonnet.
Kate Constable's (8-11) Divisional Round Best Bet
Jake Tonges o34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Without George Kittle in the lineup, Tonges becomes TE1 and a valuable part of the passing offense. In six games without Kittle, Tonges has averaged just under five receptions per game to go with 44.8 receiving yards. Christian McCaffery is likely to be limited in the run game without Kittle's blocking, which means other players are going to have to step up and Tonges is one of the first names on that list.
Adam Kaufman's (14-5) Divisional Round Best Bet
Drake Maye and the Patriots look to move on as the 2 seed
Patriots -3 (-115)
Here I go again! Good on you if you got the Pats -2.5 at open or even the -1.5 on the hypothetical line, but I'm still perfectly comfortable with the full field goal projection in what projects to be a low-scoring, defensive rock fight.
MVP candidate Drake Maye is 11-0 straight up and 9-2 against the spread as a favorite of at least 3 points in his young career. He'll face perhaps the best defense and certainly the superior front to anything he's ever seen, but the Pats' offense may be the second-best unit on the field, while the Texans offense is a distant fourth.
No Nico Collins means C.J. Stroud is down his top target, without much else to rely upon, and teams playing on short rest in the Divisional Round or later are 6-15 since 2002.
Both teams are hot and coming off wins. New England's won 14 of 15. Houston's claimed 10 straight. But, the edge goes to the home team – and a trip to the AFC Championship.
Tristan Vieira's (13-6) Divisional Round Best Bet
49ers/Seahawks Over 44.5 Points (-110)
Despite the first two match ups soaring under the total this season, books still decided to hang the hook on a key number of 44. The 49ers offense has looked explosive as of the last month, with the Seahawks defense finally showing some weakness.
The Seahawks held this same 49ers team to just 3 points 2 weeks ago, despite the 49ers 37, 48, 42, & 23 in the past month. The public is coming in heavy on the under, yet the line is bouncing back to 45 on some sharp books. Give me the over in a Saturday night thriller of a playoff game & let's get back in the win column!
Sukh Brar's (9-10) Divisional Round Best Bet
D'Andre Swift o70.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards (-115)
This is Ben Johnson's guy and he should be trusted plenty in the divisional round. He has been a tad quiet to end the season. However, that's been mostly due to game scripts. The Bears have found themselves down going into the fourth several times. Comeback wins have strangely become part of their identity. Which has limited his touches.
At home, in the cold, and against the Rams — things should be different right?
Even if they aren't Swift has been getting over this line pretty consistently. So, even though I hope the bears lose, I'm still going with Swift.
Enjoy NFL Divisional Round Weekend!
You can also check out more free picks & analysis from every Divisional Round Weekend Matchup!
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Daniel Collins is a sports fanatic and data-driven bettor. He has expertise in the NFL, NBA, and NHL. He’s a big fan of the Titans #titanup, Predators #predators and Arsenal #coyg. If he isn’t watching, betting on or writing about sports, he loves the outdoors, traveling, strong coffee and delicious food. You can follow him on X @SweatpantJesus. Peace and Love
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