Kate’s Prop Shop: The Best Props for Wildcard Weekend
Written by: Kate Constable
Published: Sat Jan 10, 2026, 1:00 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
nfl
The last few weeks haven't been kind to us, with another 1–2 finish to close out the regular season. Luther Burden came up short of his 22.5-yard longest reception prop, topping out at just 13 yards, while Chase Brown hurt us with a bigger-than-expected day, piling up 72 yards against the Browns defense.
Derrick Henry saved the weekend, though, delivering 20 carries for 126 yards and giving us our lone win. That moves our season-long record to 26–22, inching closer to .500. With the playoffs here, I'm confident we're about to stack some strong weeks.
You can find all of these great NFL odds on Lucky Rebel. Get a $1,250 deposit bonus & 50 Slot Spins when you sign up!
Bills QB Josh Allen Over 22.5 vs. Jaguars (Lucky Rebel, -110)
This number feels light when you factor in how Josh Allen historically approaches the postseason. In playoff games, Allen turns into a true dual-threat weapon, averaging around 55 rushing yards per game in his playoff career. When the stakes rise, so does his willingness to tuck it and go, especially in high-leverage moments. Yes, the foot injury is worth acknowledging, but context matters. This is the playoffs, not Week 7 in October. Allen has consistently shown he'll push through nagging injuries when everything's on the line, and Buffalo often leans into his mobility when the offense needs a spark or when protection breaks down. One or two designed runs, plus a handful of scrambles, can get him past this number in a hurry. At 35.5, this feels like a low bar.
Eagles RB Saquon Barkley Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts vs. 49ers (Lucky Rebel, -110)
This sets up as a classic volume play for Saquon. The matchup couldn't be much better, as San Francisco's run defense has been one of the most vulnerable units in the league. The 49ers are allowing the second-highest rushing success rate and rank 31st in PFF's run defense grade. San Francisco has consistently given up efficient runs, which is why if Nick Siriani is smart, he'll continue to ride Barkley throughout the game. Barkley remains the engine of this offense, especially in games where controlling the clock and staying ahead of the sticks matters. At 18.5 attempts, you're basically betting on trust and game flow, and everything here points to Barkley getting leaned on early and often.
Steelers RB Kenneth Gainwell Over 29.5 Receiving Yards Lucky Rebel, -110)
Gainwell's role in the passing game has quietly become one of the more reliable pieces of this offense. He's coming off an eight-catch, 64-yard performance against Baltimore last week, and that wasn't a fluke. He's cleared this receiving number in seven of his last eight games, consistently getting schemed touches on checkdowns and designed looks. Yes, Houston's defense is legit overall, but this is exactly the type of matchup where running backs can rack up receiving production underneath. Linebackers have been aggressive, which opens up space in the short passing game, and that's where Gainwell lives. At just 29.5 yards, you don't need a monster day. Four to five catches gets you most of the way there, and his recent usage says that's the expectation.
Looking for More?
More NFL News
NFL Betting News
NFL QB Futures Odds: Week 1 Starters & Next Team Markets
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER
Follow me on 'X' @KateConstable for all my picks and sports takes you didn't ask for! Follow Betting News on 'X' and Twitch and catch us on stream! Betting News is also on TikTok! Follow us for more picks, and news!
Looking for a great promo for a new sportsbook? Check out our reviews of the best sportsbooks
Kate is a Minnesota-born, Chicago-based sports broadcaster and betting analyst covering football and basketball across both the college and pro ranks. A host on the BetMGM Network (The Bettor Angle, BetMGM Gameday) and contributor at Betting News, she delivers smart, honest, and occasionally painful insight — usually while regretting her loyalty to the Bears and Timberwolves.
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Betting News makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.