Jaguars vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Picks — NFL Week 7 TNF: Upset Alert in NOLA

Devon Platana

Written by: Devon Platana

Published: Thu Oct 19, 2023, 3:00 am ET

Read Time: 6 minutes

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The NFL Week 7 slate kicks off with a Thursday Night Football showdown between the Jacksonville Jaguars and New Orleans Saints. The visitors are on fire while the home team is struggling to find success, leaving time to tell who'll emerge victorious tonight.

Travis Etienne's two-touchdown night played a massive role in the Jaguars' 37-20 victory over the rival Indianapolis Colts in Week 7. Meanwhile, the Saints are coming off a 20-13 loss to the Houston Texans, marking New Orleans' third loss in the last four games.

Can Jacksonville improve to 3-0 on the road on Thursday? Or will New Orleans find a way to stop the bleeding and walk out with the all-important W?

With this Thursday Night Football clash a few hours away, Betting News is here to make your life easier. Continue reading for the latest Jaguars vs. Saints Week 7 odds, as well as a prediction and the best bets for tonight's matchup.

Jaguars vs Saints Preview — NFL Week 7 TNF

Jaguars vs Saints Game Information

  • Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2, 2-0 Away) vs. New Orleans Saints (3-3, 1-1 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans, LA)
  • Date: Thursday, Oct. 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:15 p.m. Eastern Time
  • Jaguars vs. Saints TV Channel: Prime Video

Jaguars vs Saints Odds

NFL game odds courtesy of Bovada as of Wednesday, Oct. 18 at 10:29 p.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

  • Jacksonville Jaguars +1 (-110)
  • New Orleans Saints -1 (-110)

Over/Under

  • Over 39.5 Points (-110)
  • Under 39.5 Points (-110)

Moneyline

  • Jacksonville Jaguars +100
  • New Orleans Saints -120
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Jaguars vs Saints Betting Trends

  • Jacksonville is 2-18 straight up in its last 20 games against the NFC.
  • New Orleans is 14-6 straight up in its last 20 games played in October.
  • Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against New Orleans.
  • New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last five TNF matchups.
  • The total has hit the Under in each of Jacksonville's last five games against the NFC South.
  • The total has hit the Under in six of New Orleans' last seven home games.

Jaguars vs Saints Prediction — NFL Week 7

The Jaguars' chances of victory hinge on QB Trevor Lawrence's health. The third-year gunslinger suffered a sprained knee in the win over the Colts, resulting in a questionable tag for Thursday night.

Having said that, the fact that Lawrence has practiced throughout the week (albeit, in a limited fashion) points to him likely suiting up. His health is paramount to the Jaguars' success considering that they're averaging 23.7 PPG this season (No. 10).

The Saints' offense, on the other hand, hasn't been performing all that well. An 18.2 PPG clip has them sitting in the bottom half of the NFL. They've also been held to 17 or fewer points in three of the last four games, resulting in a loss each time.

The area that New Orleans has truly struggled in is the passing game. While the Saints did rack up 341 passing yards last week, they were held to 175 or fewer in each of the three previous games, meaning it'll be interesting to see if the latest showing was an anomaly.

Jaguars vs Saints prediction, odds & picks
The Saints need to find a way to get their offense rolling again if they hope to win on Thursday night.

Saints QB Derek Carr's play has been underwhelming thus far and that's unlikely to change. New Orleans' offensive line is quite banged up, highlighted by tackles James Hurst, Ryan Ramczyk, and Landon Young all being ruled out for tonight's game.

Jacksonville also averages the most takeaways in the league, so expect the visitors to put pressure on New Orleans' offense all night long.

Speaking of the Jaguars, they've been driving on the road dating back to the 2022 campaign. They've covered the spread in each of their three road games this season, improving their ATS record to 6-0 in their last six away outings.

Meanwhile, the Saints are an underwhelming 1-4 ATS in their last five Thursday night contests, as well as 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall — including an 0-2 ATS record at Caesars Superdome in 2023.

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In what's, more or less, a pick 'em game, I'm taking the Jaguars to win on the road. On top of being great away from home this season, Jacksonville has been impressive with a plus-12.7 average scoring margin over the last three games — third-best in the NFL during that span.

The Saints are stuck in a rut and as long as their offense struggles, winning won't be easy. The home crowd should help New Orleans stay in this game, but Jacksonville's more consistent play on both sides of the ball will lead to victory.

Prediction: Jaguars 21, Saints 17

Bet: Jaguars ML (+100 on Bovada)

Jaguars vs Saints Player Prop — NFL Week 7

Taking a look at the Jaguars vs. Saints player props, I have my eyes on New Orleans WR Rashid Shaheed recording over 38.5 receiving yards.

The sophomore wideout has been productive this year, averaging 49.7 receiving yards per game. He's finished with the Over on this prop in three of six outings so far, which includes an 85-yard performance in Week 6.

Shaheed now gets a juicy matchup in the form of the Jaguars, who are allowing the second-most yards through the air and sixth-most yards to wideouts in 2023. In other news, finishing with 39-plus yards won't be a problem for the ex-Weber State Wildcat.

Bet: Rashid Shaheed o38.5 Receiving Yards (-120 on Bovada)


Jaguars vs Saints Week 7 TNF FAQ

When is Jaguars vs Saints?

  • The Jaguars and Saints will collide on Thursday, Oct. 19, 2023.

Where is Jaguars vs Saints?

  • The Jaguars and Saints will play each other at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana.

What time does Jaguars vs Saints start?

  • Kickoff for the upcoming JAX vs. NO matchup is slated for 8:15 p.m. ET.

How can I watch Jaguars vs Saints?

  • Jaguars and Saints fans can tune in to Prime Video for Sunday's matchup.

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Devon Platana
Devon Platana

Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.

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