Wednesday CUSA Showdowns: NCAA Football Expert Picks & Predictions (10/7)
Written by: Nate Hornung
Published: Wed Oct 07, 2026, 1:32 pm ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
ncaaf
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-3.0
-110
48
-108u
-150
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+3.0
-110
48
-110o
+130
Our journey to betting 61 straight days of football continues tonight, as we have two CUSA battles to choose from. We've hit four in a row, and are sitting at 5-1 so far, so let's see if our NCAA Football experts can keep things going tonight in some G6 contests.
Check out the best odds on the market and tons of picks for the NCAA Football Season.
NCAA Football Expert Picks: Wednesday's Best Bets – October 7
We've only got two games to work with tonight, but our experts still found a pick for us. I apologize if you're not able to bet player props on some of your sportsbooks, but you can bet it all at BetOnline no matter where you're at. Keep reading for a lean on a side as well if that's more your style.
Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State NCAA Football Expert Picks
Caden Creel is the lead ball carrier for the Gamecocks in a very rush heavy offense
Best Bets: Caden Creel Over 67.5 Rushing Yards (-114) BetOnline
Yes, yes, we snagged another great line betting this last night. Creel's rushing yards prop now sits around 72.5, but I still think it is a go. I expect him to have 80+ on the ground tonight. For starters, he is the team's leading rusher in carries and yards by a landslide. The quarterback has 76 carries for 375 yards and three touchdowns on the ground this year. Their top running back has just 29 touches and 161 on the ground. Jacksonville State is most comfortable with the ball in the hands of Creel, and he uses his legs often.
So far this year, he has a minimum of 10 carries per game, averaging closer to 15.2, running for nearly five yards per carry. Now he's only cleared this line twice in five games, but he eclipsed triple digit yardage in those two contests. Feel free to ladder him up tonight, as he faces a bottom 15 rushing defense. Last year, Creel had 100+ rushing yards in two games against the Owls, scoring in both. Nothing should change tonight.
Kennesaw State is bottom 20 in yards per carry allowed and bottom 15 (of 138 FBS teams) in rushing yards allowed per game, giving up over 200 on the ground each time they step on the field. Georgia State's QB ran nine times for 62 yards and a TD, Faizon Brandon of Tennessee had 11 for 42 yards and a tuddy, and he's not much of a runner. Even Arkansas State's QB, who isn't any sort of rushing threat, had five for 26 yards, and you guessed it, a touchdown.
Feel free to take Creel down to 50 or 60 yards and pair with him to score (-180) which should get you plus money. Or again, ladder him up to triple digits (+210).
New Mexico State vs. Florida International NCAA Football Expert Picks
Trey Hedden leads the Aggies on the road in Miami tonight against Florida International
No bets for me tonight in this one, but I can't seem to figure out why the Panthers are favored. Sure, they are at home, but who exactly have they played? They beat Buffalo and Long Island, both at home. On the road, they lost to South Florida and Florida Atlantic, putting up 19 total points. I don't trust them against any sort of team with the pulse.
Are the Aggies that team? Absolutely not. But so far, they are much more battle tested. They covered against Florida State on the road in Week 0, battled with Hawaii and faced New Mexico, all tougher opponents than who the Panthers have played.
With that being said, if you forced my hand, I'd probably take the points with the Aggies, but I'd wait and see if you can get a full touchdown.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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