Penn State vs. #2 Michigan: Odds & Predictions | February 5, 2026

Colby Marchio

Written by: Colby Marchio

Last Update: Thu Feb 05, 2026, 1:57 pm ET

Read Time: 4 minutes

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Penn State Nittany Lions logo
FINAL
Michigan Wolverines logo

Penn State Nittany Lions

69

Michigan Wolverines

110
See Picks & Statistics For The Game

Michigan returns home in a prime bounce spot as it hosts Penn State in what sets up as a fast paced, offense driven matchup. After nearly a week of rest and a confidence boosting win over Michigan State, the Wolverines should control tempo from the opening tip. Michigan thrives inside Crisler Center, ranking among the most efficient offenses at home while dominating the paint and generating second chance points. Penn State has struggled mightily away from home, especially on the defensive end. With Michigan pushing pace and attacking the rim consistently, this game has the makings of a lopsided, high scoring affair.

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Penn State vs. #2 Michigan Odds 

Freshman Kayden Mingo leads the Nittany Lions in points, assists and steals per game - NCAA Basketball Picks

Will the Nittany Lions make it out alive tonight in Ann Arbor?

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Spread

Penn State: +25.5 (-115)

Michigan: -25.5 (-106)

Total

Over: 162.0 (-111)

Under: 162.0 (-109)

Moneyline

Penn State: N/A

Michigan: N/A

Penn State vs. #2 Michigan Bet

Come on, who wants to ride the 25.5-point spread and back the Wolverines? Anyone? Nobody? Fine, we can ride their team total over 93.5, because this should be a very high scoring game for Michigan. After nearly a week of rest and coming off a win over Michigan State, the Wolverines should be ready to roll tonight back at home.

The pace of play will without a doubt be dictated by this Michigan squad. They are ranked as the second fastest team at home this season. Michigan is going to force this Penn State team to lace their shoes up tight in this one. Expect some Nittany Lions players to have their hands on their hips late in this ball game.

Inside their home gym this season, the Wolverines own the sixth best offense. They do an incredible job attacking the rim, where they are ranked first in two-point percentage. They also excel at generating second chance points and getting to the line at a high rate.

Good Luck Lions

Penn State will be the worst team Michigan has faced since January 6, which was the last time these two teams met. Michigan scored only 74 points in that 74 to 72 win over the Nittany Lions. Now back in Ann Arbor, this team should be out for blood against a defense that ranks dead last in effective field goal percentage allowed on the road.

Overall, the Nittany Lions have been abysmal away from home, especially on the defensive end. Michigan is the most efficient team in the country on the interior, while Penn State ranks dead last in two-point defense. That combination is a recipe for things to get ugly. Michigan is not an elite three-point shooting team, but that is a bonus when facing a defense that ranks second worst in three-point percentage allowed. Penn State does a solid job avoiding fouls, but with how consistently Michigan gets to the rim, fouls should pile up, and so will the points.

This number feels a bit too low, as I can see the Wolverines scoring close to triple digits. Despite winning the first meeting, Michigan should be motivated to make a statement. With a game in Columbus on Sunday and nearly a week of rest behind them, this sets up as a perfect tune up spot at home.

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Colby Marchio
Colby Marchio

Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.

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