Written by: Danny Burke
Published: Wed Mar 04, 2026, 12:21 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
nba
What's going on everybody? I hope you're having a wonderful Wednesday so far and are ready to sweat some hoops tonight. We've got a six-game slate to work with and are looking to bounce back after an 0-2 dud on Tuesday night. That brings our overall NBA record to 136-108-1, good for +16.55 units.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today's slate, take a look at our NBA Picks Page or our NBA Odds Page.
Since being traded to the Boston Celtics, Nikola Vucevic has averaged 7.8 rebounds per game. However, that number has been somewhat inflated by a few games where he grabbed 11 or 12 boards. Outside of those performances, he's been a bit volatile on the glass.
The main reason for backing the under here is the upcoming matchup. Vucevic and the Celtics are taking on the Charlotte Hornets, a team that ranks second in the NBA in rebounding percentage.
It's a chalky price, but if you can get him under 7.5 rebounds, it should be worth it.
Keeping our next bet in the same matchup, let's also look to fade the Hornets' standout rookie Kon Knueppel. I'm betting Knueppel to hit fewer than 3.5 triples this evening against a top-tier Boston defense.
The Celtics sit third in eFG% allowed and sixth in points per possession given up. However, they are closer to average when it comes to defending the three ball, ranking 15th in opponent three-point percentage (36%). I'm not too concerned about that potential vulnerability on the perimeter, though.
The Hornets are on the second leg of a back-to-back, and Knueppel has hit just one and two threes respectively over his past two games.
I can't imagine he exceeds his season-long average of 3.5 per game during a mini slump, on limited rest and against one of the better overall defenses in the Association.
Let's conclude our trio of NBA prop bets with a plus-money over. I'll be backing newly acquired Atlanta Hawk Jonathan Kuminga to collect at least six rebounds tonight.
In his first two games with Atlanta, he played 30 minutes against Washington and grabbed nine rebounds, then followed that up with seven boards in 25 minutes of play versus Portland.
Kuminga had been seeing less and less action with the Warriors, and now has a great opportunity for a reset with a new organization that may value his contributions more.
Those talents could be put on full display against a Bucks defense that not only struggles offensively, ranking 20th in points per possession, but also fails to rebound efficiently, sitting 27th in rebound percentage. Let's continue to take advantage of a great price on Kuminga's boards while we still can.
NBA Record: 136-108-1 (+16.55 units)
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Danny Burke is a betting analyst with a decade of sports media experience. He got his start at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, sharing picks on the local ESPN affiliate. After college, he hosted shows for VSiN in Las Vegas before returning to Chicago to launch 'Rush Hour', the first daily sports betting show from an Illinois casino. He also co-hosted 'Props and Locks' on Fox32’s Bears pregame show and ran 'Bet On, Chicago' on WLS-AM 890.
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