Tonight’s Best Player Props in the Association | NBA (3/5)
Written by: Varun Sharma
Published: Thu Mar 05, 2026, 9:00 am ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
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We did it, we made it the weekend (basically). We've got a huge NBA slate to help take us into the weekend and I've got a few plays I love. Let's get straight into it.
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Today's Best Bets
Christian Braun o20.5 PRA (-108)| Lucky Rebel
Let's kick it off with Christian Braun of the Denver Nuggets. Braun's played in just 26 of the Nuggets' 62 games this year and because of his injuries he's played a ton of these games on a minutes restriction.
Braun's in his fourth season in the NBA and due to injuries he's seen a steep decline in production. Just last year, Braun was scoring 15.4 points per game and grabbing 5.2 rebounds per game. He played 79 games, shot 58% for the season and even finished the year shooting 39.7% from beyond the arc.
In 26 games this year, Braun's scoring has dropped to 10.8 points per game. He's shooting 49.5% from the field and just 27.8% from three. Not only has Braun struggled a bit, but with him out of the lineup, Peyton Watson took advantage.
The Nuggets have a ton of talent on this roster and sometimes there's just not enough shots to go around. That being said, they play the Los Angeles Lakers tonight and I can't think of a better matchup.
The Lakers have struggled against speed and athleticism all year and Braun is both.
Braun's cleared this line in seven of his 10 games without Watson in the lineup this year; averaging 13.5 points, 5.8 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. He's shooting 56.7% from the field in these 10 games and 36.1% from the perimeter.
Every single one of these games has come in February/March and it looks like Braun's heating up at the perfect time.
Desmond Bane o21.5 Points (-120) | Lucky Rebel
The Dallas Mavericks ranks 27th in points allowed over their last 10 games and it's getting ugly down in Texas. The Mavs are allowing opponents to shoot 50.2% (27th) from the field and Desmond Bane has had a ton of success in his career against Dallas.
Before signing with the Orlando Magic, Bane played his entire career in Memphis, Tennessee. The Memphis Grizzlies play in the Southwest Division, as do the Dallas Mavericks. In his six seasons, Bane played the Mavericks 16 times, 14 times as a starter.
In these 14 games, Bane averaged 22.5 points per game, he shot 49.8% from the field, 38.8% from three and cleared this line in eight of the 14 starts. Bane's also cleared this line in 10 of 14 home games without Franz Wagner; averaging 24.8 points per game on shooting splits of 54/43/93.
Reed Sheppard o20.5 PRA (-110) | Lucky Rebel
Let's cap it off with another young kid, Reed Sheppard of the Houston Rockets. Sheppard's been great as of late and Head Coach Ime Udoka's been rewarding Shep with more playing time.
Sheppard's playing 29.6 minutes per game over his last 10 games and he's making the most of the opportunity. He's cleared this line in eight of the 10 games; averaging 16.8 points, 4.5 assists and 3,8 rebounds per game. He's shooting 48% from the field and 45.8% from three.
The Rockets also have a ton of guys with the 'Questionable' tag still looming. Alperen Sengun might sit with an illness while both Jabari Smith Jr. and Amen Thompson could be sidelined due to ankle sprains.
Whether they play or don't, I love this spot for Shep. The Warriors rank 30th in points allowed to the PG position, 20th in rebounds allowed to the position and Shep had 31 points against this same Warriors team back in November.
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