Pelicans vs Mavericks Predictions & Player Prop of the Game: Can the Injured Pelicans hang with Luka and the Mavs?

Daniel Collins

Written by: Daniel Collins

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The New Orleans Pelicans travel to Dallas to take on Luka Dončić and the Mavericks in a Western Conference Saturday night showdown.

The West is becoming more wide open by the day and the Pels and Mavs are 3rd and 4th respectively, and are both enjoying a nice run of good games over the past 2 weeks.

In this battle of two of the best in the West tonight, who will come out on top?

Here is my analysis, a game prediction and a MUST BET player prop!

As Luka goes, the Mavs Go

Luka is playing some of his best basketball of his career this season.

He is averaging 34 PPG and shooting an insane 50% from the floor. For a Point Guard, that is incredibly impressive.

Luka is doing it all for the Mavs, which is working when Luka is on.

And he has been on alot.

But if Luka has a bad night, the Mavericks struggle.

In their last game against the Celtics, Luka struggled from the floor, shooting 30% from the floor and only scoring 23 points.

The Mavs lost 124-95 and it wasn’t close all night long.

Obviously, Luka is amazing and is one of the best players in the league but the Mavs don’t have an answer when Luka has a random bad night.

Whether that is sustainable is a separate conversation but no doubt Luka will come out ready to roll tonight against the beaten-up Pelicans.

Who’s gonna suit up for the Pels?

Here is the latest injury report for the Pelicans tonight. If you’re a Pelicans fan, you may want to skip this part.

As you can see, it’s not looking good for the Pels starting lineup tonight and this is going to be a test for the Pelicans over the next stretch without Zion and Brandon Ingram.

CJ McCollum is very capable of carrying this offense so that is definitely worth monitoring over the next few weeks.

But tonight, with no McCollum, Zion and Ingram, can the Pelicans hang around with Luka and the Mavericks at the American Airlines Center tonight?


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  • Pelicans +9.5 (-110)
  • Mavericks -9.5 (-110)


  • Pelicans (+310)
  • Mavericks (-390)


  • Over 223.5 (-110)
  • Under 223.5 (-110)


Given the injury situation for the Pelicans mixed in to the Mavericks performance last game against the Celtics, the Mavericks are going to come out to ball tonight.

I expect a big bounce back game from Luka and this entire Mavs squad, and to handle their business in a big way at home to get a big Western conference win tonight!

Best Bet

Mavericks -9.5 (-110)

Consensus Bet

Pelicans +9.5 (-110)

Prop of the Game

Luka Dončić o34.5 pts (-108)

As I mentioned before, I am expecting a big bounce back from Luka tonight after an underwhelming performance last game against the Celtics.

In his last 2 matchups with the Pelicans, he has cruised for a cool 37 and 49 points.

Over his past 7 games, he has 35+ in 5 of 7.

While this could turn into a blowout, if that happens, its because Luka did his damage early and often.

Big Luka Saturday night performance incoming!

Enjoy this game and all the other NBA games tonight!

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Daniel Collins
Daniel Collins

Daniel Collins is a sports fanatic and data-driven bettor. He has expertise in the NFL, NBA, and NHL. He’s a big fan of the Titans #titanup, Predators #predators and Arsenal #coyg. If he isn’t watching, betting on or writing about sports, he loves the outdoors, traveling, strong coffee and delicious food. You can follow him on X @SweatpantJesus. Peace and Love

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