In their first matchup, Holiday was remarkably efficient, shooting 67% from the field and scoring 24 points. It's unlikely he replicates that kind of performance tonight. He's averaging 18 points per game on the season and has stayed under 16.5 in half of his appearances. This prop line seems inflated due to recency bias from that prior meeting, which should be viewed as an aberration.

DeMar DeRozan Under 22.5 Points (-110)
The Kings travel to the Mile High City to take on Nikola Jokić and the Denver Nuggets on Monday night. There isn't much overanalyzing needed for this prop. As every NBA fan knows, DeMar DeRozan lives and dies by the mid-range jumper. The problem? He's up against a Denver team that ranks third in opponent field goal percentage from that area (36.7%) and seventh in the rate of mid-range attempts allowed (26%).
This is a solid spot to sell high on DeRozan.

Jarace Walker Under 14.5 Points (-107)
The Indiana Pacers host the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday evening, and this matchup could lead to a quieter offensive night for Jarace Walker. His points prop looks a bit inflated given his inconsistency – he's averaging just 12.2 points per game and has been a volatile scorer, with point totals of 13, 6, 6, 20, 17, and 6 through six outings. Nearly half of his shots (49%) come from beyond the arc, but Milwaukee defends that area well, ranking 11th in opponent three-point attempt rate (37.2%) and 14th in opponent three-point percentage (35.5%).
Given the matchup and his streaky scoring profile, this feels like a good spot to fade Walker.

Cooper Flagg Under 6.5 Rebounds (+100)
This is a prop I've been keeping an eye on throughout the season. The rookie is averaging 6.2 rebounds per game and has gone over this number in only half of his outings. The under should be more heavily juiced here, as Flagg faces a tough matchup on the boards against the league's top rebounding team – the Houston Rockets – who lead the NBA in rebounding percentage at 56.6%.
- Lakers +3.5 (-110) @ Blazers
- Jrue Holiday Under 16.5 Points (-105)
- DeMar DeRozan Under 22.5 Points (-110)
- Jarace Walker Under 14.5 Points (-107)
- Cooper Flagg Under 6.5 Rebounds (+100)
NBA record: 17-12 (+3.71 units)
Still Didn't Get Your NBA Fix?
Follow me on X @dannyburke5 for all my picks, analysis and plenty more. Also be sure to follow Betting News on 'X' and Twitch to catch us on stream! Betting News is also on TikTok! Follow us for more picks and news every day and check out our Free Expert Picks for every major sports league.
More NBA News
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER



