Pistons Center Jalen Duren Over 12.5 Rebounds + Assists vs. Cavaliers (-120) (-120 at Lucky Rebel)
With Isaiah Stewart still sidelined due to his suspension, Duren's production, especially on the boards, is going to continue to be high. He's cleared this line in the last three games without Stewart, posting 17, 15, and 15 rebounds plus assists. His recent usage numbers also back this up, with Duren averaging 26.7 potential rebounds and assists per game in that three-game stretch. I also really like the matchup against this Cavs team that has struggled on the glass lately, ranking 27th in opponent rebounds allowed over their last five games. Meanwhile, the Pistons sit second in the league in rebounds per game over that same span. As long as Duren stays out of foul trouble, the minutes, opportunity, and matchup all point toward another night where he fills up the stat sheet beyond just scoring.
Celtics Guard Payton Pritchard Over 17.5 Points (-110) vs. Brooklyn Nets(-113 at Lucky Rebel)
Pritchard is coming off two down shooting nights, which is uncharacteristic of the Celtics three-point threat. However, tonight presents a perfect opportunity to get back on track against a bad Brooklyn Nets squad that gives up a ton of points. With the spread in this game sitting at 17.5, the market is expecting a blowout, which could mean a few extra minutes for Pritchard, especially considering he's playing 35 minutes in both meetings this year. Brooklyn continues to struggle to contain guards who can score off movement and second units, and outside of those previously mentioned games, Pritchard had a streak of three games in which he scored at least 26 points. He's finished with 24 or more points in all but four games this month.
Bucks PF Kyle Kuzma Under 4.5 Rebounds (+110) vs. New York Knicks (+110 at Lucky Rebel)
This is a tough rebounding spot for Kuzma. New York has been cleaning the glass at a high level lately, ranking top 10 in defensive rebounds over their last five games, which naturally limits secondary rebounding chances for opposing forwards. Kuzma is also sliding into more of a stretch-four role, filling in for Giannis Antetokounmpo, pulling him away from the rim and further reducing his rebounding opportunities.
While the size matchup against OG Anunoby isn't extreme on paper, the physicality gap matters here, and OG is far more willing to mix it up inside. Kuzma has never been a high-volume rebounder to begin with, and the trend backs it up. He's stayed under this number in five straight games. At plus money, you're fading a player whose role, matchup, and recent production all point in the same direction.
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