I had every intention of taking Dame in this spot but his points line is 33.5 and I like the matchup for Simons better.
The Hawks are by far the worst team against the shooting guard, allowing 34 PPG to opposing SGs.
Simons hasn't been great the past 5 games statistically, but is always capable of popping off in any given game and this feels like a night where he gets going early.
Obviously Dame will have plenty of chances to get his points as well, and will probably go over his line.
But with the lower number, in the best possible matchup, I am going to roll with Simons.
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Daniel Collins is a sports fanatic and data-driven bettor. He has expertise in the NFL, NBA, and NHL. He’s a big fan of the Titans #titanup, Predators #predators and Arsenal #coyg. If he isn’t watching, betting on or writing about sports, he loves the outdoors, traveling, strong coffee and delicious food. You can follow him on X @SweatpantJesus. Peace and Love
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